- , ( Bass Diffusion Model Examples\Part IV). , (Frank Bass) 1969 . - . [JS00] . , AnyLogic, . 13.10.
(Potential_Adopters) (Adopters). . , , , - .
, , , . , , , . : () (). (reinforcing) , (, ) , . . (, balancing) , , , . .
, .
c : (Potentia1_Adopters) , , (Adopters). . , . (Adoption_Rate). . , , " ". , , . . . , " " , . , .
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c . . 13.10. (Adoption_Rate) . ( Adoption_from_Advertizing). : (Advertizing_Effectiveness) . , Adoption_from_Advertizing, , , . , Adoption_from_Advertizing (Balancing). . 13.10 "" .
, , . Word of Mouth " " " ". , , . Adoption_from_word_of_Mouth . -, (potential_Adopters). , Adoption_from_word_of_Mouth, , , Adoption_from_word_of_Mouth . .
, , , (Adopters). Adoption_from_word_of_Mouth, , , , , .
, (Reinforcing). . 13.10 "R" . .
. , , ( ) . , , , , , . . , . .
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, Potential_Adopters Adopters , :
d(Potential_Adopters)/dt = - Adoption_Rate d(Adopters)/dt = Adoption_Rate)
. , , . :
Adoption_Rate = Adoption_from_Advertizing + Adoption_from_Word_of_Mouth
, -
tential_Adopters Advertizing_Effectiveness Adoption_
from_Advertizing. , , , . , . :
Adoption_from_Advertizing =
Advertizing_Effectiveness * Potential_Adopters
, Adoption_from_word_of_Mouth . , (Adopters) (contact_Rate). , ,
. Adoption_Fraction. , , , , , Total_Population. , , , , Potential_Adopters / Total_Population
,
Adoption_from_Word_of_Mouth = Adopters * Contact_Rate * Adoption_Fraction * Potential_Adopters / Total_Population
" " ( 7 . 3.1).
AnyLogic : . , (. . 13.7). Bass Diffusion Model Examples. , . , , . [JS00].
, , , . , : " ". , . Adoption_Fraction, , , . , : , Advertizing_Effectiveness, ( Potential_Adopters) ,
Adoption_Fraction.