: S, P, I D. , t i, d, ic, dc.
(3.1, 3.5, 3.12, 3.13 . 3):
S = P ´ (1 + ic) n; (5.5)
S = P ´ (1 + ic / m) m ´ n ; (5.6)
P = S ´ (1 dc) n; (5.7)
P = S ´ (1 dc / m) n ´ m , (5.8)
m ;
ic ;
dc ;
n , , , t, i, d, ic, dc.
, t ( , t n), : B C, A, B:
ℓog AB = C B = AC. (5.9)
(5.5)(5.8) n :
n = ℓog(SP / SP)/ℓog(1 + ic), (5.10)
n = ℓog(SP / SP)/ m ´ ℓog(1 + ic / m), (5.11)
n = ℓog(P / S)/ℓog(1 dc), (5.12)
n = ℓog(P / S)/ m ´ ℓog(1 dc / m). (5.13)
1. P = 100 . S = 250 . 1) ic = 10%?
2) ic = 10% m = 4?
: P, S, ic (5.10), (5.11), 1) n = 9,7; 2) n = 9,27. n , , . , , . , .
n = 10, 10 .
, , , , n = 9, .. . , .. 0,25 n = 9,25, .. .
, , , ( m (5.6), (5.8)) , m , , , , xcel (. ).
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ic dc (5.5)(5.8) :
ic = (S / P)1/ n 1, (5.14)
ic = m ´ ((S / P)1/ n ´ m 1), (5.15)
dc = 1 (P / S)1/ n , (5.16)
dc = m ´ (1 (P / S)1/ n ´ m ). (5.17)
2. dc S = 200 . . , P = 50 . .
: dc (5.17), m = 1/2. : dc = 46,88%.
1. , 15 000 . ic = 13%. : 5,65 .
2. 26 500 . 10 000 . ic = 13% . : 7,97 .
3. , 5 dc = 5% 200 000 . 15 000 .? ? : 50,49 .
4. dc = 15% 30 500 . 15 000 . : 1,09 .
5. 25 600 . . : 16,65%.
6. , 14 700 . ic = 15% ? ? : 450%.
7. 100 000 . 3 , 85000 . : 5%
8. 12 000 . 24 8 500 . . : 14,58%.
1. .
2. : , , .
3. : , , .
, , .. . . , , , , , , , .
, , . . , , . : - , .
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(). . :
Inf1/0=Σ(P0j*Q0j * P1j / P0j)/Σ(P0j*Q0j)(5.18) : Inf1/0- ; P1j - () ; P0j - () ; P0j Q0j - () . |
. , , . , , , . , .
2005
2005 | % ( ) |
102,5 | |
101,6 | |
I | 105,1 |
101,9 | |
100,2 | |
100,7 | |
100,4 | |
99,2 |
2004
2004 | % ( ) |
101,92 | |
102,34 | |
100,77 | |
I | 105,1 |
100,89 | |
100,58 | |
101,02 | |
I | 107,8 |
101,44 | |
99,87 | |
99,9 | |
101,6 | |
101,5 | |
2004 | 114,3 |
http://www.nizstst.sinn.ru ()
? - , , . - () , ().
() t=t1-t0, i
Inf1/0= 1+ i*(t1- t0)/T (5.19) i- , T . |
(5.19) t=t1-t0 i- .
i=(Inf1/0- 1)* T/(t1-t0) (5.20) i- , T . |
, 2004 101,92%, 2005 102,5% ( ) 23% 30%
i 01.2004=(1,0192- 1)* 12/1=0,23 i 01.2005=(1,025- 1)* 12/1=0,3 |
, () .
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2004 (. ) Inf1/0,Inf2/1,Inf3/2 (!).
Inf1/0, Inf2/1,Inf3/2=1,0192*1,0234*1,0077=1,051 i 01-03.2004=20,4% i 01-03.2004=(1,051- 1)* 12/3=0,204 |
2004 Inf2004=114,3, i2004=14,3%.
t=T*n (. ) Inf2004, Inf2005 (!) Inf2005-4= Inf2004* Inf2005
Inf2004-5=Inf2004*Inf2005=(1+i2004)*(1+i2005) (5.21) i2004- , , i2005- , . |
, Inf, . , Ip,
Ip=1/Inf (5.22). Inf , Ip - |
2.
.
, , , . .
, P=100 . i=10% S=110 . Inf=108,5% Sf=S/Inf=110/1,085=101,38 . , if=(101,38-100)/100=1,38%.
, , , . : , i, . , : , . , .
( ) , i.
.
( ) :
P ´ i ´ (1 i),
P ;
i ;
i .
,
S = P ´ (1 + i ´ (1 i)), (5.23)
P ;
i ;
i .
t i i,
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S = P ´ (1 + i ´ (1 i)´ t / T), (5.24)
P ;
i ;
i ;
t ;
T (), i.
ic n ( )
In = P ´ (1 + i) n P, (5.25)
P ;
ic ;
n .
In = P ´ [(1 + i) n 1]´ (1 i), (5.26)
P ;
ic ;
n ;
i .
,
Sn = P ´ [[(1 + i) n 1]´ (1 i) + 1], (5.27)
P ;
ic ;
n ;
i .
, , , .. n - , . , , , .. .
, , P 1 P 2. S, d, t P 2 = S ´ (1 d ´ t / T). , [ P 1 S ´ (1 d ´ t / T)]´ i ´ t / T.
Q t, , , , i
Rn = Q ´ i ´ t / T, (5.28)
Rn ;
Q ;
i ;
t ;
T () .
6