3. 6 . , 7 10 . ?
. , , , , 0,7 .
, , p = 0,7, g = 0,3.
1.1
∙0,36× ×0,70 | ∙0,7× ×0,35 | ∙0,72× ×0,34 | ∙0,73× ×0,33 | ∙0,74× ×0,32 | ∙0,75× ×0,3 | ∙0,76× ×0,30 | ||
0,0007 | 0,0102 | 0,0593 | 0,1852 | 0,3241 | 0,3025 | 0,1176 |
, , , 4 . , , .
, .
, , k 0.
k0,n ≥ k0+1,n (1.8.2)
k0,n ≥ k0+1,n (1.8.3)
(1.8.2)
, (1.8.1),
(1.8.4)
,
(n k 0) p ≤ (k 0 + 1) g
np g ≤ k 0 (p + g),
np g ≤ k 0 (1.8.5)
(1.8.3)
, (1.8.2),
k 0 (g + p) ≤ np + p
k 0 ≤ np + p (1.8.6)
(1.8.5) (1.8.6),
npg≤k0≤np+p. (1.8.7)
np g np + p . , npg - , n+ - (1.8.7) k0. npg - , n+ - ; k0 k0 +1 .
k0. n = 6, p = 0,7, g = 0,3; npg = 6∙0,70,3 = 3,9; np+p = 6∙0,7 + 0,7 = 4,9; 3,9≤ k0 ≤4,9; k0 = 4.
. 1.9.
-
. 1500 . , , 1200 , , 0,9.
(11.8.2), , = 1500, k = 1200, = 0,9, g = 0,l,
. , .
p = 1/2 1730., 0 < < 1.
. (0<<1), :
|
|
(1.9.1)
Pk,n - , n k (k ); g = 1 - . - (1.9.1):
(1.9.2)
x=
(1.9.2) , n.
j() . j () x , j (x) = j ( ). x≥0 (. 1).
. P1200,1500 (1.9.2). n =1500, k =1200, p = 0,9, g = 0,1
j(-12,91) = j(12,91)6,3∙104;
, . , , 1500 1200, , .
- . n (0<<1),
,
P (k 1, k 2) - , n k1 k 2 . :
(1.9.3)
(1.9.4)
. (1.9.3)
. 1
, . 1. (x) . () , (x) = ( ), ≥0.
:
P (k 1, k 2) (x 2) (x 1). (1.9.6)
. , 90%, 600 = { , , 520 570}, , = 0,9
. n = 600, p = 0,9, g = 0,1, ,
P (520,570) (x2) (x 1),
P (520,570) (4,08) (2,72) = 0,49996 + 0,4967 = 0,99.
.
. 1.10.
- . , , .
. - . . - - . , . - . . . , . , . , , , :
|
|
, , , , - .
2
- . - , , . , .