, , .
. , , , . . , , () . , - , .
(trend analysis)
, . , , .
(trend analysis) . , , . , . 12.4 . , . . . , , , 79% , , . , , 85% , , . , , 91% [85 + (85 , , . , 252 (277 0,91), 288 . , , , 230 , 252, 275 , 288 . , , , . , 335 .
|
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12.4. | |||
( .) | |||
(57) | (230) | - |
12.2.
(Warren Mitofsky), Voter Research & Surveys (VRS), , . - , 22 , 60 . 6 , 1500 .
VRS , 25 . , , , . . , , , .
. VRS . , , . , , , . , , , , . , VRS , , , . VRS 3-4%.
. (weighting), , [23]. , . , 85, 70 40% . , , .. , (100/85), (100/70) (100/40) . , , , . 14, .
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(weighting)
, , .
. (imputation), , , [24]. , , , , . . , ( 17).
(imputation)
, , , .