. .
1. .
: 19992003 .
, | % 1999 . | |||
. 1 | . 2 | . 1 | . 2 | |
45,5 | 56,1 | 100,0 | 100,0 | |
72,4 | 65,1 | 159,1 | 116,0 | |
95,2 | 66,5 | 209,2 | 118,5 | |
122,0 | 65,0 | 268,1 | 115,9 | |
128,0 | 67,0 | 281,3 | 119,4 |
2. , . , ; , , .
, . | , . | , , . | |
6133 (2015+1938+2160) | 2044 (6133:3) | ||
6264 (1938+2160+2166) | 2088 (6264:3) | ||
6661(2160+2166+2335) | 2220 (6661:3) | ||
7098 (2429+2381+2443) | 2368 (7098:3) | ||
.
3. .
, , , , .. .
. 9.
( x t).
,
(t) , . . ,
. 5 ( ):
, . . |
, , 2006 . ().
(t) , (.. ),
|
|
:
.
0 1 .
(t) | , . . (y) | t2 | yt | ||
2 | 144 | 73,0 | |||
1 | 78 | 77,5 | |||
82,0 | |||||
86,5 | |||||
91,0 | |||||
Σt = 0 | n = 5 | Σy = 410 | Σt2 = 10 | Σyt = 45 |
50=410, 0=82;
101=45, 1=4,5,
( ):
.
, t=-2, -1, 0, 1, 2, 6 .
2006 . (t=5) :
.
, , , , 19992003 ., 2006 .
4. .
. 19982003 . , 2001 . . .
/ | 1,5 | 2,0 | 2,1 | 2,6 | 2,8 |
1. 20002002 .:
,
2. :
,
3. :
,
5. , ( ). . , 2003 .
1. :
,
.
2. :
,
.
, , .