, , . S 0 D 0 , (D 0/ )> (D 1/ ), , D 0 D 1. 0=1. (24) , (25) .
, (D o) P (D l). , - P (D 0) P (D 1)
, R P (D 0) P (D l). , R , P (D 0). , P (D 0)=0 P (D 1)=1. , P (D 0)=0, , D 1. , . R = 11, (11 <0), .2. , , . . 1. P (D 0) . R >11, P (D 0)=0 . , P (D 0)=1, , D o. . R =00, 00, < 0. P (D 0) = l (P (D 0)<l) - , R >00. , (D 0)=1 . R P (D 0), P *(D 0) (0;l) R . P (D 0), R (P *(D 0))= R * . * (D o) , , . 2. , P (D 0) 0...1 R (22). P (D 0) , P *(D 0). , R *.
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.2. R D 0
S0 S1 R (. (22)) P (D 0) , P (D l) = 1- P (D 0). S0 S1 P *(D 0) , . (22) S0 S1, P (D 0) . .
(23) . D o D 1 , . . , (23) (25) , , , , D 0, , D 0, . , :
.
, (19) (20) :
(27)
(28)
(21) P (D 0), P (D 1) = 1 - P (D 0) . (23) :
= (29)
*(D 0) :
= . (30)
(25), (24), (27)
P *(D 1)=1- P *(D 0).
[3].
-
, () . - 2- ( ) , . (26), , 1- ( ) P F :
(31)
, .
(32)
k , 1...3, , 3...10, .
(31) . - (24) (25).
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( 2- ) :
.
,
,
N , k = 1,..., 10 .
, .
. = (x1,x2), D 0 D 1. , :
;
, (i = 0,1) , a D 0 D 1. (25),
.
, (x1,x2). (j =1,2) :
.
2. , . , , D 0, 0=0,5 / =0,2 /, D 1 1=1,5 /, =0,3 /. , , , 01 =10 , , , 10 = 200 . (D 0)=0,95 P (D 1)=0,05.
(24), ( ) :
(34)
, , . z= (34)
(35)
, (35) z=1,842. , /. 1- 2- , . . 1 (20), :
(36)
. . .
(34), .
/. 1- 2- (36) : . . .
(34), 01 P (D 1)= 01 P (D 0), (. . 2.3). (34) * :
, * =0,92 /. 1- 2- (36) *: F = 0,0161 = 0,00137. R = 0,44 . .
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, * = 0,74 /. P *(D 0) * (D 0) = 1 * (D 0) :
P *(D 0)= 0,528; P *(D 1)= 0,472. 1- 2- (36), P (D 0) = P *(D 0) P (D 1) = P *(D 1): P F =0,0604 M =0,0027. R = 1,14 . .
, , P *(D 0), P (D 0).
k =1; 3; 5. k (ε = k P (D 1)): ε = 0,05; 0,15; 0,25. 1- F ε. , * , . . 1
ε *1 : *1 =0,82; *2=0,7; *3=0,63. (36) : M1 =0,00061; M2 =0,00019; M3 =0,00009. : R 1 = 0,62; R 2 = 1,54; R 3 = 2,52 . . . 4
4