.


:




:

































 

 

 

 


 

. , , , . . , . , , , . , , , .

 

, : , , , , , .

 

, .. . , .

 

: , , .

 

1. :

1. 72000/ Ai = 16.5 . /

2. 44000 / Ai = 49 . /

: ( ) - 80% σ=4

20% σ=0,025

=7 300 000 $

= 10 500 000 $

Θ = 74%

:

1. h = 13 .

2. Δt = 76

2. :

1. 10 / Ai = 10 . /

2. 14 / Ai = 10 . /

σ = 1.9

= 5 200 000 $

= 11 000 000 $

Θ = 79%

3. :

:

:!!!!!

: (γ = 2.5$/)

65/29 /

= 2700 $

= 420 $

= 220 $

4. :

= 72

= 45

= 9000 $

= 13000 $

= 300 .

5. , , :

Q .=77%

Q .=75%

Q .=100% - .

: L .=50; L .=40

6. .

 

.

 

. = γ * σ. * ƒ * * A

. - .

[]-1$ ( )

γ -

. γ ≈ 2,4 $/

σ.- ,
,
. :

 

σ. = σ1(S1/S)+σ2(S2/S)

 

Si.- %

σi - .

ƒ - , . 3 :

1. , . ≤ 1 /, θ ≈ 90%).

,

 

 

- ( ~ 3/).

2. , 1 / < υ. ≤ 20 /,

75 % ≤ θ < 90 %

:

3. , υ. < 20 /,

0 < 75 %. ƒ≈10

 

.

[M] = 1/

Ai .

[Ai] = 1 . /

 

 

 

.

, :

 

, ∆h=1+930C/750C=2.24

 

1= (100/(100+2.24*26))*4/(1+3/)=0.63

, :


2=(100/(60+2.24*26))1/2*4/(1+3/)=0.92

σ. :

σ.=8*60%+0.05*40% ≈ 4.82

, :

= γ * σ. *1 * 1 * Ai1+ ƒ2 * 2 * Ai2)

= 2.4$/*4.82*(0,63*43000 /*41.1 . /+0.92*45000 /*

*49 . /)= 36346644.43$ - .


2. .

. = γ * σ. * * Ai

. - .

[]-1$ ( )

γ . γ ≈ 1680 $/

σ.- , , . :

 

σ. = σ1(S1/S)+σ2(S2/S)

 

Si. %

σi .

.

[M] = 1/

Ai .

[Ai] = 1 . /

, :

= γ * σ. * (1 * Ai1 + 2 * Ai2)

= 1890 $/*1.0*(30 /*0.05 . /+49 /*

*10 . /) =928935$ .


3. .

 

. = γ * σ. *

. - .

γ . 3 :

ü (γ = 3$/)

ü (γ = 2$/)

ü - (γ = 3$/)

σ , . 4 :

ü (σ = 0,5)

ü (σ = 0,7)

ü (σ = 1)

ü (σ = 2)

.

1=56/c =5631.5=1764/

2=56/c=5631.5=1764 /

= 1 + 2

1 = γ1 σ 1

1 = 30.51764= 2646$

2 = γ2 σ 2

2 = 311764=5292$

= 2646+5292=7938$


4. .

. = +

. - .

.

.

γ . γ = 1$

(L) .

(L) .

L .

L .

N .

(L)=20.1*60 5.3=58.7

(L)=0.5*20.15*54 - 6.1=131.09

=1$*58.7*600=35200$

=1$*131.09*600=78654$

=35200$+78654$ = 113854$ .


5. , , .

 

. .

:

. = (γ * σ. *1 * 1 * Ai1+ ƒ2 * 2 * Ai2))*Q., Q.=100%-Q

. =2.4$/*4.82*(0,63*43000 /*41.1 . /+0.92*45000 /*

*49 . /) *23%=36346644.43$*23%=8359728.219$-

.

:

. =(γ * σ. * (1 * Ai1 + 2 * Ai2)) *Q., Q.=100%-Q

. =1890 $/*1.0*(30 /*0.05 . /+49 /*

*10 . /) =526932$*25% =131733 $

.

:

. =(γ * σ. * ) *Q., Q.=100%-Q

7210.35$ *0%=0 . (.. )

:

. = .+.

=γ*(L.)*N

=γ*(L.)*N

L .. .

L .. .

 

(L)=20,1*60-5,3=58.7

(L)=0,5*20,15*54 -6.1=131.09

 

 

(L)=20,1*50-5,3=26.7

(L)=0,5*20,15*40 -6.1=25.9

=1$*26.7*600=16020$

=1$*25.9*600=15540$

. = 16020$+15540$=31560$ .

 


6. .

:

Δ=1-2

1 .

2 .

C .

.

:

Δ=36346644.43 $- 8359728.2191$=27986916.21$

=((27986916.21$ - 7500000$)/11500000)*100%=178%

:

Δ= 928935$- 131733$=797202$

=((797202$- 5400000$)/13000000)*100%=-35%

:

Δ= 7938$-0 $= 7938$

=((7938$-300$)/2500$)*100%=306%

:

Δ== 113854$ - 31560$=82294$

=((82294$ -7000 $)/11000)*100%=684%


, E >>E, E ≈ 12. , > . >> . , , << .

 

, (=12%), . , , , . .

 

 



<== | ==>
Mathematica. , |
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: 2016-04-03; !; : 1337 |


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