. , , , . . , . , , , . , , , .
, : , , , , , .
, .. . , .
: , , .
1. :
1. 72000/ Ai = 16.5 . /
2. 44000 / Ai = 49 . /
: ( ) - 80% σ=4
20% σ=0,025
=7 300 000 $
= 10 500 000 $
Θ = 74%
:
1. h = 13 .
2. Δt = 76
2. :
1. 10 / Ai = 10 . /
2. 14 / Ai = 10 . /
σ = 1.9
= 5 200 000 $
= 11 000 000 $
Θ = 79%
3. :
:
:!!!!!
: (γ = 2.5$/)
65/29 /
= 2700 $
= 420 $
= 220 $
4. :
|
|
= 72
= 45
= 9000 $
= 13000 $
= 300 .
5. , , :
Q .=77%
Q .=75%
Q .=100% - .
: L .=50; L .=40
6. .
.
. = γ * σ. * ƒ * * A
. - .
[]-1$ ( )
γ -
. γ ≈ 2,4 $/
σ.- ,
,
. :
σ. = σ1(S1/S)+σ2(S2/S)
Si.- %
σi - .
ƒ - , . 3 :
1. , (υ. ≤ 1 /, θ ≈ 90%).
,
- ( ~ 3/).
2. , 1 / < υ. ≤ 20 /,
75 % ≤ θ < 90 %
:
3. , υ. < 20 /,
0 < 75 %. ƒ≈10
.
[M] = 1/
Ai .
[Ai] = 1 . /
.
, :
, ∆h=1+930C/750C=2.24
1= (100/(100+2.24*26))*4/(1+3/)=0.63
, :
2=(100/(60+2.24*26))1/2*4/(1+3/)=0.92
σ. :
σ.=8*60%+0.05*40% ≈ 4.82
, :
= γ * σ. * (ƒ1 * 1 * Ai1+ ƒ2 * 2 * Ai2)
= 2.4$/*4.82*(0,63*43000 /*41.1 . /+0.92*45000 /*
*49 . /)= 36346644.43$ - .
2. .
. = γ * σ. * * Ai
. - .
[]-1$ ( )
γ . γ ≈ 1680 $/
σ.- , , . :
|
|
σ. = σ1(S1/S)+σ2(S2/S)
Si. %
σi .
.
[M] = 1/
Ai .
[Ai] = 1 . /
, :
= γ * σ. * (1 * Ai1 + 2 * Ai2)
= 1890 $/*1.0*(30 /*0.05 . /+49 /*
*10 . /) =928935$ .
3. .
. = γ * σ. *
. - .
γ . 3 :
ü (γ = 3$/)
ü (γ = 2$/)
ü - (γ = 3$/)
σ , . 4 :
ü (σ = 0,5)
ü (σ = 0,7)
ü (σ = 1)
ü (σ = 2)
.
1=56/c =5631.5=1764/
2=56/c=5631.5=1764 /
= 1 + 2
1 = γ1 σ 1
1 = 30.51764= 2646$
2 = γ2 σ 2
2 = 311764=5292$
= 2646+5292=7938$
4. .
. = +
. - .
.
.
γ . γ = 1$
(L) .
(L) .
L .
L .
N .
(L)=20.1*60 5.3=58.7
(L)=0.5*20.15*54 - 6.1=131.09
=1$*58.7*600=35200$
=1$*131.09*600=78654$
=35200$+78654$ = 113854$ .
5. , , .
. .
:
. = (γ * σ. * (ƒ1 * 1 * Ai1+ ƒ2 * 2 * Ai2))*Q., Q.=100%-Q
. =2.4$/*4.82*(0,63*43000 /*41.1 . /+0.92*45000 /*
*49 . /) *23%=36346644.43$*23%=8359728.219$-
.
:
. =(γ * σ. * (1 * Ai1 + 2 * Ai2)) *Q., Q.=100%-Q
. =1890 $/*1.0*(30 /*0.05 . /+49 /*
*10 . /) =526932$*25% =131733 $
.
:
. =(γ * σ. * ) *Q., Q.=100%-Q
7210.35$ *0%=0 . (.. )
:
. = .+.
=γ*(L.)*N
=γ*(L.)*N
L .. .
L .. .
(L)=20,1*60-5,3=58.7
(L)=0,5*20,15*54 -6.1=131.09
(L)=20,1*50-5,3=26.7
(L)=0,5*20,15*40 -6.1=25.9
=1$*26.7*600=16020$
=1$*25.9*600=15540$
. = 16020$+15540$=31560$ .
|
|
6. .
:
Δ=1-2
1 .
2 .
C .
.
:
Δ=36346644.43 $- 8359728.2191$=27986916.21$
=((27986916.21$ - 7500000$)/11500000)*100%=178%
:
Δ= 928935$- 131733$=797202$
=((797202$- 5400000$)/13000000)*100%=-35%
:
Δ= 7938$-0 $= 7938$
=((7938$-300$)/2500$)*100%=306%
:
Δ== 113854$ - 31560$=82294$
=((82294$ -7000 $)/11000)*100%=684%
, E >>E, E ≈ 12. , > . >> . , , << .
, (=12%), . , , , . .