, , , .
, .
 |
. , 1 5.2, 5.8 . , :
³ , . " " " " . , 1982 . , , 100. 1988 . 118. , 1988 . 18% , 1982 ., , , , 1982 . 100 ., 1988 . 118 .
.
г (1):
(1)
i - ;
i-1 .
(2):
(2)
a
(3)
г (%) , , . , .
" 70":
(4)
t , ( ).
1
: .
:
() , ;
() , ; () .
(5)
, (. .):
| г | (%) | |
1/ ?
1939 , 100%.
2/ 1929 1933 .?
ֳ 24.8% ((91-121)/121*100).
/ 1933 1939 ?
ֳ 9.9% ((100-91)/91*100).
4/ .
5 :
1929 =104/1.21=86 . .;
1933 =56/0.91=62. .;
1939 =91/1.00=91 . .
:
(6)
.
:
|
|
|
(7)
() .
2
1/ , 10%, 7%?
':
7 :
, 3%.
2/ , 30 . ., 106?
':
6 :
. .
28.3 . .
3/ , 8%, 10%?
':
7, :
, 2%.
:
| г | . % |
1/ .
1 , :
2/ " 70", , ( 1 ).
4 :
;
;
.
3/ , 15%, 7%.
, , , , 100. 7. , :
, 2.7%.
:
, 2.7%.
4/ 14% ( ), 18% ( ), ?
:
14 - 12 = 2%;
:
18-10 = 8%.
:
IN =(1+ i 1)(1+ i 2)... (1+ i n) (8)
a
IN = I 1* I 2... I n (9)
n , .
4
, 0.05, 0.08.
':
8 :
IN = (1 + 0.05)(1+ 0.08)= 1.134.
:
IN =(1+ ii)n (10)
5
г 12 4%. .
':
10, :
IN = (1+0.04)12 = 1.601;
3, :
in =1.601-1 = 0.601.
6
:
|
|
|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 4 (%) | 120.2 | 105.8 | 3-? |
| 105.6 | 106.2 | 4-? | |
| 108.2 | 109.6 | 102.9 | |
| 107.6 | 2-? | 107.4 | |
| 4 (%) | 1-? | 113.5 | 105.7 |
3 = 4
':
9, 1, , 2,3 4:
X1 =(1.202 ● 1.056 ● 1.082 ● 1.076) 100=147.8%;
7
(%) 2001 :
| 103.3 | 102.8 | 102.6 | 102.3 | 101.1 | 101.6 | 101.2 | 102.1 | 100.3 |
9 2001 .
':
2000 (0 = 1.000).
9 9:
I9 =1.033 * 1.028 * 1.026 * 1.023 * 1.011 * 1.016 * 1.012 * 1.021 * 1.003 =1.187
9 18.7%.
