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2015
һ
( ӻ)
:
121
, ,
4
( , )
..
, ,
..
, ,
2
4
5
1 6
2
11
3
-
13
4 16
5 -
24
6 -
28
7
30
8 -
38
9
40
10 44
11 2- 48
12 50
51
52
, - .
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.
, . , , , , .
1
1
, . | |
2
- , | - , % | - , .. | |
- | |||
- | |||
- | |||
- | |||
- | - | 3,2 | |
- | - | ||
- | - |
3 , 1
0,18 | 0,020 | |
0,45 | 0,025 | |
0,35 | 0,020 | |
2,6 | 0,30 |
4
, , .. | |
5
- t, - | - | |
6
, k | 1,0 | 1,36 | 1,69 | 1,91 | 2,16 | 2,44 |
7
, % | ||
1. - | ||
2. | ||
3 | ||
4 , |
7
|
|
- - | ||
5 | ||
6 | ||
7 | 0,6 | |
8 | ||
9 |
8
1 | 2 | |
, % | ||
, % | ||
- , % |
9
1 | 2 | |
1. , ...: - |
9
- , - | ||
2. , : - , - - , - - | ||
3. , . |
10
, | , % | , % | ||
1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
11
1 | 2 | ||
1 - , ... | |||
2 - Zj, ... | |||
3 , , % | - | ||
4 , % | - | ||
5 - ,... | - | ||
6 , ... | - | ||
7 , , , ... | - |
12
.. | ||||||||
αt | 0,870 | 0,756 | 0,658 | 0,574 | 0,497 | 0,432 | 0,376 | .. |
2
, . . 1
1 2.
:
= 640 ∙ 0,18 = 115,2 (..);
= 172,8 ();
= 172,8 ∙ 0,020 = 3,456 (..).
:
|
|
= 32 ∙ 0,45 = 14,4 (..);
= 4,8 ();
= 4,8∙ 0,025 = 0,12 (..).
:
= 3000 ∙ 0,35 = 1050 (..);
= 1050 ();
= 1050 ∙ 0,020= 21 (..).
:
= 7 ∙ 2,6 = 18,2 (..);
= 1,75 ();
= 1,75 ∙ 0,30 = 0,525 (..).
= 115,2+14,4+1050+18,2+3,2+25+690 = 1916 (..);
= 3,456+0,12+21+0,525 = 25,101 (..).
1
, , () | , , (..) | , , (..) | , (%) | , , () | , (../) | , , (..) | |
0,18 | 115,2 | 172,8 | 0,020 | 3,456 | |||
0,45 | 14,4 | 4,8 | 0,025 | 0,12 | |||
0,35 | 0,020 | ||||||
2,6 | 18,2 | 1,75 | 0,30 | 0,525 | |||
- | - | 3,2 | - | - | - | - | |
- | - | - | - | - | - | ||
- | - | - | - | - | - | ||
25,101 |
3
. (L) , . 2.
:
= 0,8 ∙ 1,69 = 1,352 (..);
= 1,352∙ 12 = 16,224 (..);
= (..);
= (..).
:
= 0,8 ∙ 2,16 = 1,728 (..);
= 1,728 ∙ 108 = 186,624 (..);
= (..);
= (..).
:
= 0,8 ∙ 2,16 = 1,728 (..);
= 1,728 ∙ 44= 76,032 (..);
= (..);
= (..).
:
= 0,8 ∙ 1,91 = 1,528 (..);
= 1,528 ∙ 20= 30,56 (..);
= (..);
= (..).
:
= 0,8 ∙ 1,91 = 1,528 (..);
= 1,528 ∙ 85 = 129,88 (..);
= (..);
= (..).
= 16,224+186,624+76,032+30,56+129,88=439,32 (..);
= 1,6224+18,6624+7,6032+3,056+12,988=43,932 (..);
= 5,35392+61,58592+25,09056+10,0848+42,8604=144,9756(..).
2
, t, (-) | , | , K | , L (..) | , , (..) | , , (..) | , , (.) | |
1,69 | 1,352 | 16,224 | 1,6224 | 5,35392 | |||
2,16 | 1,728 | 186,624 | 18,6624 | 61,58592 | |||
2,16 | 1,728 | 76,032 | 7,6032 | 25,09056 | |||
1,91 | 1,528 | 30,56 | 3,056 | 10,0848 | |||
1,91 | 1,528 | 129,88 | 12,988 | 42,8604 | |||
439,32 | 43,932 | 144,9756 |
|
|
4
, 7. 3.
:
= S+, (1)
S - , ..;
- , ..
, , :
, (2)
- , %.
:
) ;
) , ;
) .
, 1 4.
:
= = (..);
+ + = 1916+1813+372,9-25,101 = 4076,799 (..);
= = (..);
= = (..);
= = (..);
= = (..);
= = (..);
= (..);
S = + 36,4015 =
= 6103,3201 (..);
= = (..);
S = S + = 6103,3201+122,066 = 6225,3861 (..);
S = + + + + +=527,184+263,592+351,456+36,4015+122,066=1300,7 (..);
S = + + + + + + = =4076,799+439,32+43,932+144,9756+219,66 = 4924,687 (..);
= = (..);
= S + = 6225,3861+1556,347 = 7781,733 (..);
= Q ∙ S = 6500 ∙ 6103,3201= 39671580,7 (..);
= Q ∙ S = 6500 ∙ 6225,3861= 40465009,7 (..);
= Q ∙ = 6500 ∙ 1556,347= 10116255,5 (..);
= Q ∙ = 6500 ∙ 7781,733 = 50581264,5 (..).
:
1) :
(..);
1 = 439,32 109,83 = 329,49 (..);
(..);
1 = 43,932 10,983 = 32,949 (..);
(..);
1 = 144,9756 36,2439 = 108,732 (..).
2) :
= (..);
1 + 1 + 1 1 = 4076,799 489,216 = 3587,583 (..).
3) - :
(..);
(..);
1 = 395,388 + 23,723 = 419,111 (..);
1 = (..);
1 = 419,111+ 164,745 = 583,856 (..);
(..);
(..);
1 = 197,694 + 11,862 = 209,556 (..);
(..);
(..);
1 = 263,592 + 15,816= 279,408 (..);
(..)
(..);
1 = 30,7894+1,84734 = 32,637 (..);
S1= +32,637=5164,211(.);
(..);
(..);
1 = 103,284 + 6,197 = 109,481 (..);
S1 = S1 + 1 = 5164,211 + 109,481 = 5273,692 (..);
S1 = 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 = =419,111+209,556+279,408+32,637+109,481=1050,193 (..)
S1= (1 + 1 + 1 1) + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 = =3587,583+329,49+32,949+108,732+164,745=4223,499 (..)
1 = (..);
1 = S1 + 1 = 5273,692+1318,423 = 6592,115 (..);
= Q1 ∙ S1 = 12800 ∙ 5164,211 = 66101900,8 (..);
= Q1 ∙ S1 = 12800 ∙ 5273,692 = 67503257,6 (..);
= Q1 ∙ 1 = 12800 ∙ 1318,423 = 16875814,4 (..);
= Q1 ∙ 1 = 12800 ∙ 6592,115 = 84379072 (..).
:
1) :
(..);
2 = 439,32 123,0096 = 316,31 (..);
(..);
2 =43,932 - 12,30096 = 31,631 (..);
(..);
2 = 144,9756 40,593 = 104,382 (..).
2) :
= (..);
2 + 2 + 2 2 = 4076,799 - 611,51985= 3465,279 (..).
3) - :
(..);
(..);
2 = 379,572 + 30,36576 = 409,938 (..);
2 = (..);
2 = 409,938 + 158,155 = 568,093 (..);
(..);
(..);
2 = 189,786 + 15,183 = 204,969 (..);
(..);
(..);
2 = 253,048 + 20,244 = 273,292 (..);
(..);
(..);
2 = 29,783736+ 2,382699 = 32,166 (..);
S2 = +32,166 =
= 4996,122 (..);
(..);
(..);
2 = 99,922 + 7,994 = 107,916 (..);
S2 = S2 + 2 = 4996,122 + 107,916 = 5104,038 (..);
S2 = 2 + 2 + 2 + 2 + 2 = =409,938+204,969+273,292+32,166+107,916 = 1028,281 (..);
|
|
S2= (2 + 2 + 2 2) + 2 + 2 + 2 + 2 = =3465,279+316,31+31,631+104,382+158,155 = 4075,757 (..);
2 = (..);
2 = S2 + 2 = 5104,038 + 1276,01 = 6380,048 (..);
= Q2 ∙ S2 = 11900 4996,122 = 59453851,8 (..);
= Q2 ∙ S2 = 11900 5104,038 = 60738052,2 (..);
= Q2 ∙ 2 = 11900 1276,01 = 15184519 (..);
= Q2 ∙ 2 = 11900 6380,048 = 75922571,2 (..).
3
1 | 2 | |||||
, . | , . | , . | ||||
1. | S | |||||
2. | S | |||||
3. | 372,9 | S | ||||
4. () | 25,101 | S | ||||
4076,799 | S | 3587,583 | S | 3465,279 | S | |
5. | 439,32 | S | 329,49 | S | 316,31 | S |
6. | 43,932 | S | 32,949 | S | 31,631 | S |
7. | 144,9756 | S | 108,732 | S | 104,382 | S |
8. , .. --. , --. | 746,844 | 583,856 | 568,093 | |||
527,184 | S | 419,111 | S | 409,938 | S | |
219,66 | S | 164,745 | S | 158,155 | S | |
9. | 263,592 | S | 209,556 | S | 204,969 | S |
10. | 351,456 | S | 279,408 | S | 273,292 | S |
3
11. | 36,4015 | S | 32,637 | S | 32,166 | S |
: | 6103,3201 | 5164,211 | 4996,122 | |||
12. | 122,066 | S | 109,481 | S | 107,916 | S |
: , : - - - - | 6225,3861 | 5273,692 | 5104,038 | |||
1300,7 | S | 1050,193 | S | 1028,281 | S | |
4924,687 | S | 4223,499 | S | 4075,757 | S | |
1556,347 | 1318,423 | 1276,01 | ||||
7781,733 | 6592,115 | 6380,048 | ||||
39671580,7 | 66101900,8 | 59453851,8 | ||||
40465009,7 | 67503257,6 | 60738052,2 | ||||
10116255,5 | 16875814,4 | |||||
50581264,5 | 75922571,2 |
4. , 2- .
5
(Z) (i=1I):
1. , :
1.1 , ;
1.2 ;
1.3 , ;
1.4 .
2. ().
3. .
:
, (3)
- i- , . ..;
- i- , . ..;
- , i- , .;
- , .
:
, (4)
- , .;
- .
: Q2, Q3, Q4, , 1, 2, 3, 4, 6 9. Q6=Q5
1 :
Q1 = (1 + 1 + 1 1) ∙ 12800 = 3587,583 12800=
= 45921,06 (...);
Q5 = S1 ∙ 12800 = 5164,211 12800 = 66101,9 (...);
1 = =
= 3587,583+0,5(5164,211-3587,583)/ 5164,211 = 0,85;
5 = ∙ 1.
5 = 25 ∙ 0,85 = 21,25 (.);
Z1 = (...);
Z2 = (...);
Z3 = (...);
Z4 = (...);
Z5 = (...);
Z6 = (...);
Z = Z1 + Z2 + Z3 + Z4 + Z5 + Z6= 13794,77 (...).
2 :
Q1 = (2 + 2 + 2 2) ∙ 11900 = 3465,279 ∙ 11900= 41236,82 (...);
Q5 = S2 ∙ 11900 = 4996,122 ∙ 11900= 59453,85 (...);
2 = =
=(3465,279+0,5(4996,122-3465,279))/4996,122 =0,85;
5 = ∙ 2. 5 = 25 ∙ 0,85 = 21,25 (.);
Z1 = (...);
Z2 = (...);
Z3 = (...);
Z4 = (...);
Z5 = (...);
Z6 = (...);
Z = Z1 + Z2 + Z3 + Z4 + Z5 + Z6 = 11264,9 (...).
4
1 | 2 | |||||
, Qi, ... | i, . | , Zi, ... | , Qi, ... | i, . | , Zi, ... | |
1 , | 45921,06 | 6919,61 | 41236,82 | 5422,92 | ||
2 | 154,11 | 140,55 |
4
3 , | 972,6 | 863,01 | ||||
4 | 89,04 | 73,97 | ||||
5 | 66101,9 | 21,25 | 3848,4 | 59453,85 | 21,25 | 3461,35 |
6 | 66101,9 | 1811,01 | 59453,85 | 1303,1 | ||
, Z | 13794,77 | 11264,9 |
, .
6
:
+ + + + + + , (6)
- j- , ..;
- j- , ..;
- j- , ..;
- - j- , ..;
- j- , ..;
- , , j- , ..;
- , j- , ..;
- , j- , ..
: , Z, , 11. Z1 Z2 4.
1 = (...);
2 = (...);
1 = (...);
2 = (...);
= + Z = 14200+5700 = 19900 (...);
1 = 1 + Z1 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 = 39430,77 (...)
2 = 2 + Z2 + 2 + 2 + 2 + 2 + 2 = 35228,9 (...).
5
1 | 2 | ||
, , ... | |||
, Zj, .. | 13794,77 | 11264,9 | |
- , , ... | - | ||
, , ... | - | ||
, , , , ... | - | ||
, , ... | - | ||
, , ... | - | ||
, ... | 39430,77 | 35228,9 |
, , .
7
(NPV) , , .
(7)
- j- , . ..;
- j- t- , . ..;
, , = 0,15;
- t- .
, .
(PI) , 1 .
(8)
, () .
: j 3, nt5 1, ktj 10. 1 11, = 0,15, 1 5, αt 12.
1:
nt1 = (.);
nt2 = (.);
nt3 = (.);
nt4 = (.);
nt5 = (.).
2:
nt1 = (.);
nt2 = (.);
nt3 = (.);
nt4 = (.);
nt5 = (.).
1:
2 ∙ nt1 = 1318,423 ∙ 7680 = 10125,5 (...);
2 ∙ nt2 = 1318,423 ∙ 8960 = 11813,1 (...);
2 ∙ nt3 = 1318,423 ∙ 10240 = 13500,7 (...).
2 ∙ nt4 = 1318,423 ∙ 11520 = 15188,2 (...);
2 ∙ nt5 = 1318,423 ∙ 12800 = 16875,8 (...);
2:
2 ∙ nt1 = 1276,01 ∙ 3570 = 4555,4 (...);
2 ∙ nt2 = 1276,01 ∙ 5950 = 7592,3 (...);
2 ∙ nt3 = 1276,01 ∙ 11900 = 15184,6 (...);
2 &