, , . , . The 1996 Revision , 2040 . , , , , . , 2040 . 7,7 . , 2040 2050 . 85 . . 25% .
: 1995 . 4:1, 2050 . 7:1, 1995 . ( ) ( ) , 2050 . 3 , (. 10.3).
10.3. 1900-2055 . (. .)
: United Nations Secretariat. Population Division// Population Newsletter. December 1996. 62. P. 34.
: 2050 . 1950 . 12 , 1995 . , 2050 . . XXI . (. 10.4).
10.4. , 19502050 . (. .)
2050 . | |||
(555) | (1222) | (1231) | |
(358) | (929) | (1198) | |
(180) | (267) | (306) | |
(152) | (197) | (279) | |
(84) | (159) | (272) | |
(80) | (148) | (251) | |
(72) | (136) | (188) | |
(53) | (125) | (178) | |
(51) | (118) | (176) | |
(50) | (112) | (146) | |
(47) | (91) | (143) | |
(42) | (82) | (127) |
, . 1900 . 20 , 1995 . 25 , 2050 ., , 42 . : 23 1995 . 41 2050 ., , , 40 . 51 , : 53, 55, 58 .
|
|
: , , . 1950 . 1/5 , 1/12, 2050 . 1/20. 65 , 1950 . 5%, 1995 6,5%, 18% 2050 . 1950 . 2,5 , 2050 ., , 65 . , . , , , 2050 . 2%, 40%.
, . 2050 . 100 . 15-24-, 1995 . (12 18% ), . , 75-85 0-10 . , , , , 80, . , , 2050 . . (Eberstadt N. World Population Implosion?//Publ. Interest. N.Y., 1997. 129. P. 3-23.)