V
-
V = 0,4352 * 1,131077
, V//K > 0
V , L
-
V = 7,98 * 1,04 * L 0,24 * 0,15
, V//K >
,
V = 0,3499 * 0,997 * L 0,2471
R = 0,7855934
. , 78,55%
t p = 3.350571 * 10-3
t kp = 2.101
t pac < t kp, , 95 % ,
F pac = 1.92
Fkp = 2.25
F pac < Fkp, 95% ,
=
= = 1,19
1,19 .
; = V/ = 0,3499 * 0,997 * 1663 -0,063 * 1610,2471 > 1, 19 .
1,19 . .
EL=
EL= =12,3
12,3 .
:
eL =VL/= 0,3499 * 16630,997 * 0,2471 *161-0,7529 = 3,06 .
3,06 .
:
= = 0,25
0,25 . , .
:
= * 1,19 = 0,99
= *3,06 = 0,24
0,99 ., 0,24
2 (43121)
.
.
- 1-
y = - 820,6288 + 578,7136 * (-1995)
R = 0,5110591
ϭ2 = 3,150027 * 107
F= 3,828755
t = 1,527623 * 10-8
DW = 1,750489
- 2-
y = - 592,8187 + 502,7776 * (-1995) + 3,9967 (-1995)2
R = 0,5113808
ϭ2 = 3,148625 * 107
F = 3,823923
t = 3,513073 * 10-7
DW = 1,752933
-
y = 194,5541 * (-1995 +1)1,175901
R = 0,4077756
ϭ2 = 3,554646 * 107
F = 11,04585
t = 4,987609 * 10-2
DW = 1,547939
-
y = 548,2819 * (0,1529523(-1995))
R = 0,4136005
ϭ2 = 3,534246 * 107
F = 5,551277
t = 4,232573 * 10-2
DW = 1,585097
2-
y = - 592,8187 + 502,7776 * (-1995) + 3,9967 (-1995)2
R = 0,5113808
ϭ2 = 3,148625 * 107
F = 3,823923
t = 3,513073 * 10-7
DW = 1,752933
, . R = 0,5113808, ϭ2 = 3,148625 * 107
|
|
t PAC = 3.513073 * 10 -7
t KP = 2.101
t PAC < t KP , 95 % , .
- 2.
. 2015 2016 .
95 % , [ y (Tnp) t a * ϭ0; y (Tnp) + t a * ϭ0],
t a = 2,36
ϭ0 = ϭ20
ϭ0 3,148625 * 10-7 = 5611,26
Y (2015) = - 592,8187 + 502,7776 (2015-1995) + 3,9967 (2015-1995)2
Y (2015) = -592,8187 + 10 055,55 + 1598,68 = 11 061,41
2015 [ 11 061,41 2,36 * 5 611,26; 11 061,41 + 2,36 * 5,611.26]
2015 [ 0; 24 303.98]
Y (2016) = - 592,8187 + 502,7776 * 21 + 3,9967 * 21 2
Y (2016) = -592,8187 + 10 558,33 + 1 762,54 = 11 727,72
2016 [11 727,72 2,36 * 5 611,26; 11 727,72 + 2,36 * 5 611.26]
2016 [ 0; 24 970,2936]
2 (43121)
.
.
- 1-
y = 150,0428 + 29,94812 * (-1995)
R = 0,4391756
ϭ2 = 124794,5
F= 5,184703
t = 4,890685 * 10-8
DW = 1,937515
- 2-
y = 341,2466 33,78671 * (-1995) + 3,354496 (-1995)2
R = 0,5067135
ϭ2 = 114917,1
F= 3,894694
t = 1,429428 * 10-7
DW = 2,046679
-
y = 202,5721 * (-1995 +1)0,261466
R = 0,2527191
ϭ2 = 114741,2
F = 34,84065
t = 4,322139 * 10-2
DW = 1,690792
-
y = 245,366 * (3,809273*10-2(-1995))
R = 0,3325165
ϭ2 = 137520,6
F = 24,84267
t = 4,212276 * 10-2
DW = 1,767595
2-
y = 341,2466 33,78671 * (-1995) + 3,354496 (-1995)2
R = 0,5067135
ϭ2 = 114917,1
F = 3,894694
t = 1,429428 * 10-7
DW = 2,046679
, . R = 0,5067135, ϭ2 = 114917,1
t PAC = 1,429428 * 10 -7
t KP = 2.101
t PAC < t KP , 95 % , .
- 2.
. 2015 2016 .
95 % , [ y (Tnp) t a * ϭ0; y (Tnp) + t a * ϭ0],
t a = 2,36
ϭ0 = ϭ20
ϭ0 = = 338,99
Y (2015) = 314,2466 33,78671 (2015-1995) + 3,354469 (2015-1995)2
Y (2015) = 1007,3
2015 [ 1 007,3 2,36 *338,99; 10 073 + 2,36 * 338,99]
2015 [ 207,28; 1 807,31]
Y (2016) = 341,2466 33,78671 * (2016-1995) + 3,354469 * (2016-1995) 2
Y (2016) = 1 111,05
2015 [1 111,05 2,36 * 338,99; 1 111,05 + 2,36 * 338,99]
2015 [ 311,03; 1 911,06]