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10 Ibiden.

" .: . . ., 1994. . 209.

12 .: Arriaga E. Population Analysis with Microcomputers. Vol. I, II. 1994. (.335-342), - , (. 169-172).

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14 .. . ., 1997. . 21.

15 Spiegelman M. Introduction to Demography. Cambridge, MA:
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16 Spiegelman M. Op. cit. P. 407.

17 .: Arriaga E. Population Analysis with Microcomputers.
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18 // .
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19 .: World Population Prospects. The 1998 Revision. Vol. I:
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20 .: Pollard J.H. Projection of Age-Specific Mortality Rates /
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21 Whelpton P.K., Elbridge H.T., Siegel J.S. Forecast of the Population of the United States 1947-1975. Wash., D.C., 1947. . : Readings in Population Research Methodology. Volume 5. Population Models, Projections and Estimates. Chicago, 1993. P. 17-17.

24 Readings in Population Research Methodology. Volume 5.
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25 Benjamin . The Span of Life // Journal of the Institute of
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26 Readings in Population Research Methodology. Volume 5.
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27 .: : Isserman A.M.
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29 : Arriaga E. Population Analysis with
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30 .: .
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jl 2001 .: World Population Prospects. The 2000 Revision. Vol. I-III. United Nations. N.Y., 2001. . .: World Population Prospects. The 2000 Revision. Highlights. Draft. Doc. ESA/P/WP.165. 28 February 2001 // www.undp.org/popin/ popin.html ( WPP-2000).

32 http://www.undp.org/popin

3j WPP-I, P. 8-9. .: : . 7 // . . . . 1999. 39.

34 WPP-2000.P. v.

35 Ibiden.

36 \ypp_i; p. 2. 2000 .,
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6 : (21%), (12%),
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WPP-2000. . 58.

38WPP-2000. . 51.;

39 WPP-2000. . 9; WPP-I, . 4.;

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41 .., .. XXI . ., 2000. . 49. 42WPP-I,P. 8-9.

43 WPP-2000. . 15-16.

44 http:// www.census.gov

45 ., : .. ,

//
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46 . : 1996.
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47 .: 1999.
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48 .

49 .., .. . ., 1996.
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50 .. ... . 262.

51 : ..
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53 .: : .., ..
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54 .: .., .. . . . 51.

 






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