.
1. tp( 0) = 0, t(j) =i{t(i) + t(ij)}, j=1N , . , .
2. t (N) = t(N), t (i) = minj {(t(j)t(ij)}, i=1(N-1) , , , . , .
3. R(T) = t(i) t(i) , , .
, R (i) = 0.
(i,j)
1. : .
2. :
3. :
4. :
5. :
, . ;
, , ;
, ( ) , ;
, , . .
. , , . L i (i,j), R(i,j)=Rl(i,j). L j (i,j), R(i,j)=Rc(i,j). L i, j (i,j), , R(i,j)=Rc(i,j)=R(i,j)
.
.
, , , .
. L (i,j), R(i,j)=0, , R(i) i 0. . , .
|
|
3.
:
t(L(i,j)) (i,j);
t L(i,j), .
, (i,j) < 1. (i,j) 1, . 1. 3 : ((i,j) > 0,8), (0,6 < (i,j) < 0,8) ((i,j) < 0,6).
, .
8.2. . CPM
CPM . : . , .
A | - | tA |
B | - | tB |
C | B | tC |
D | A, C | tD |
. : A, B, C, D. , . A B . C B. , C , B. D : A C. , D , A C. . .
:
1) T.
2) R(i,j) = 0, (i,j) ; R(i,j)≠0, (i,j) .
3) (i,j), , , r(i,j), .
4) (i,j), , , R(i,j), , , .
.
1. .
2. , , .
3. ?
4. , ?
5. ?
6. CPM ...
, , ;
, ;
;
;
|
|
.
8.3. CPM
1
. , . , , . , , (, , , ..) , . .
A | - | |
B | - | |
C | A | |
D | A | |
E | C, B | |
F | C, B | |
G | D, E |
:
, ;
;
;
F.
2
() , . , . :
A | - | |
B | - | |
C | - | |
D | B | |
E | A | |
F | B | |
G | C, D | |
H | B, E | |
I | F, G | |
J | H |
.
:
;
;
F.
3
( ):
A | - | |
B | - | |
C | A | |
D | A | |
E | B | |
F | D, E | |
G | D, E | |
H | C, F |
:
;
;
D ;
.
4
. .
A | - | |
B | - | |
C | A | |
D | B, C | |
E | D | |
F | E | |
G | B, C | |
H | F, G |
:
;
;
;
C;
C ;
F;
F .
5
. , , . .
() | |||
A | - | ||
B | - | ||
C | A, B | ||
D | C | ||
E | C | ||
F | D, E | ||
G | E | ||
H | F, G |
:
|
|
;
( );
;
;
.
8.4. . PERT
, PERT, i, , :
- i .
- i .
- i .
, , ti i
i ,
, vari i:
i , = vari = 0.
- , . , . ( ) () , . CPM. ti. () , , . , .
T () (T). T0. , T≤T0, z=(T0-E(T))/s(T), .
1.
. , . . , . ( ) .
ai | mi | bi | |||
A | - | ||||
B | - | 1,5 | |||
C | A | ||||
D | A | ||||
E | A | ||||
F | C | 1.5 | 2.5 | ||
G | D | 1.5 | 4.5 | ||
H | B, E | 2.5 | 3.5 | 7.5 | |
I | H | 1.5 | 2.5 | ||
J | F,G,I |
1. .
|
|
2. ?
3. 20 .
.
.
, , . , A:
tA = (aA + 4 mA + bA)/6 = (4 + 4 * 5 + 12)/6 = 6;
= varA = ((bA - aA)/6)2 = ((12 4)/6)2 = 1.78.
, .
ti | |||
A | 1.78 | - | |
B | 0.44 | - | |
C | 0.11 | A | |
D | 1.78 | A | |
E | 0.11 | A | |
F | 0.03 | C | |
G | 0.25 | D | |
H | 0.69 | B, E | |
I | 0.03 | H | |
J | 0.11 | F,G,I |
ti, , CPM.
.
t | t | t | t | R | |||
A | 1.78 | ||||||
B | 0.44 | ||||||
C | 0.11 | ||||||
D | 1.78 | ||||||
E | 0.11 | ||||||
F | 0.03 | ||||||
G | 0.25 | ||||||
H | 0.69 | ||||||
I | 0.03 | ||||||
J | 0.11 |
A, E, H, I, J. 6 + 3 + 4 + 2 + 2 = 17. , 17 .
, , , 20 . . : s2(T)= 1.78+ 0.11 + 0.69 + 0.03 +0.11 = 2.72. , , s(T) = 1.65, z T0=20:
z = (T0-E(T))/ s (T) = (20-17) /1.65 = 1.82.
, , T E(T)≤T≤T0. 1.8 0.02 0.4656. , , T 0≤T≤T0, .. , 20 17 , 0.5 + 0.4656 = 0.9656.
.
1. PERT :
. , ,
. ,
.
.
.
2. - .
3. , ?
8.5. PERT
1
( ) :
i | mi | bi | |
A | |||
B | |||
C | 7.5 | ||
D | |||
E | |||
F |
. , B, D, F.
|
|
:
B;
D;
;
.
2
. , .
i | mi | bi | ||
A | - | |||
B | - | |||
C | A, B | |||
D | A, B | |||
E | B | |||
F | C | |||
G | D | |||
H | D, F | |||
I | E, G, H |
.
:
;
( ) ;
, 24 .
3
( ).
ai | mi | bi | ||
A | - | |||
B | - | 2.5 | 3.5 | |
C | A | |||
D | A | 5.5 | ||
E | B | |||
F | D, E | |||
G | D, E | |||
H | C, F |
:
;
, 21 ;
, 25 .
8.6. -
. , .
, . : , ( ), , , ; , ; ; .
. . , .
8.6.1.
. , , (. 1). , , , . , . , - , .
1.
(i,j) :
,
, (i,j) ;
,
tT(i,j) (i,j) ,
.
, (i,j) , .. .
-
1. , Lkp L Tkp T.
2. .
3. , .
3.1. min k(i,j), ZT(i,j).
3.2. , (i,j),
,
. ∆T , ∆T . , , .. , ∆T.
4. , .
.
5. , 3. , . , , , , .
. . , , . . .
8.6.2 -
(.1, 2).
1
-
(i,j) | ||||
T(i,j) | (i,j) | T(i,j) | (i,j) | |
(1,2) | ||||
(1,4) | ||||
(2,3) | ||||
(2,4) | ||||
(3,5) | ||||
(4,5) | ||||
=1,50 ./ | 0=73,00 . |
2.
, :
.
.
.
, .
, ( 2).
2
(i,j) | Zmax(i,j) [] | k(i,j) [./] |
(1,2) | 7,00 | |
(1,4) | 3,00 | |
(2,3) | 3,50 | |
(2,4) | 2,00 | |
(3,5) | 0,60 | |
(4,5) | 1,00 |
I . (4,5) k(4,5)=1,00 ./. (4,5) . . .3.2 (4,5) ∆t1=min[3,2]=2 . , . 3
3.
(4,5) .
1,00./*2=2,00 . .
.
.
, .
II . (1,2), , . (3,5) (4,5) 1,60 ./ , (1,2) 7 ./. , (3,5) (4,5) ∆t2=min[5,1,6]=1 . . 4.
4.
(3,5) (4,5) .
.
.
.
, .
III . (4,5) , (3,5) (2,4) - 2,60 ./ . (3,5) (2,4) ∆t3=min[4,4,6]=4 . (3,5) (2,4) . 5.
5.
(3,5) (2,4) .
.
.
.
, .
IV . (1,2) , (1,2). (1,2) . (1,2) . 6.
6.
7
(1,2) .
.
.
, .
.
, , , .
, 7 . 16 7 28,00 . (=1,50 ./) , (. 7). ( ) 14 .
, , 0=73,00 , 9 ( B).
8.7. -
: (i,j) - (i,j), (i,j); (i,j) - (i,j); C(i,j) - (i,j), ; - , ; 0 - , . 0, .
1
. | . | . | . | . |
A | ||||
B | ||||
C | ||||
D | ||||
E | ||||
F | ||||
G | ||||
H | ||||
I | ||||
J | ||||
K | ||||
0=99,00 . | =1,20 ./ |
1) A,E F - , ;
2) B I F;
3) J E, C - A;
4) H D B, , C;
5) K I;
6) G H J.
2
. | . | . | . | . | |
A | |||||
B | |||||
C | |||||
D | |||||
E | |||||
F | |||||
G | |||||
H | |||||
I | |||||
0=100,00 . | =0,90 ./ | ||||
1) D - ;
2) E D;
3) A, G C E;
4) B A;
5) H G;
6) F C;
7) I B, H, F.
3
. | . | . | . | . |
A | ||||
B | ||||
C | ||||
D | ||||
E | ||||
F | ||||
G | ||||
H | ||||
I | ||||
J | ||||
0=143,00 . | =0,60 ./ |
1) , E F - , ;
2) A ;
3) H F;
4) I A, D J - H;
5) G E, , D I;
6) B G J.
.
z 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 |
0.0.0000.0040.0080.0120.0160.0199.0239.0279.0319.0359 |
0.1.0398.0438.0478.0517.0557.0596.0636.0675.0714.0753 |
0.2.0793.0832.0871.0910.0948.0987.1026.1064.1103.1141 |
0.3.1179.1217.1255.1293.1331.1368.1406.1443.1480.1517 |
0.4.1554.1591.1628.1664.1700.1736.1772.1808.1844.1879 |
0.5.1915.1950.1985.2019.2054.2088.2123.2157.2190.2224 |
0.6.2257.2291.2324.2357.2389.2422.2454.2486.2518.2549 |
0.7.2580.2612.2642.2673.2704.2734.2764.2794.2823.2852 |
0.8.2881.2910.2939.2967.2995.3023.3051.3078.3106.3133 |
0.9.3159.3186.3212.3238.3264.3289.3315.3340.3365.3389 |
1.0.3413.3438.3461.3485.3508.3531.3554.3577.3599.3621 |
1.1.3643.3665.3686.3708.3729.3749.3770.3790.3810.3830 |
1.2.3849.3869.3888.3907.3925.3944.3962,3980.3997.4015 |
1.3.4032.4049.4066.4082.4099.4115.4131.4147.4162.4177 |
1.4.4192.4207.4222.4236.4251.4265.4279.4292.4306.4319 |
1.5.4332.4345.4357.4370.4382.4394.4406.4418.4429.4441 |
1.6.4452.4463.4474.4484.4495.4505.4515.4525.4535.4545 |
1.7.4554.4564.4573.4582.4591.4599.4608.4616.4625.4633 |
1.8.4641.4649.4656.4664.4671.4678.4686.4693.4699.4706 |
1.9.4713.4719.4726.4732.4738.4744.4750.4756.4761.4767 |
2.0.4772.4778.4783.4788.4793.4798.4803.4808.4812.4817 |
2.1.4821.4826.4830.4834.4838.4842.4846.4850.4854.4857 |
2.2.4861.4864.4868.4871.4875.4878.4881.4884.4887.4890 |
2.3.4893.4896.4898.4901.4904.4906.4909.4911.4913.4916 |
2.4.4918.4920.4922.4925.4927.4929.4931.4932.4934.4936 |
2.5.4938.4940.4941.4943.4945.4946.4948.4949.4951.4952 |
2.6.4953.4955.4956.4957.4959.4960.4961.4962.4963.4964 |
2.7.4965.4966.4967.4968.4969.4970.4971.4972.4973.4974 |
2.8.4974.4975.4976.4977.4977.4978.4979.4979.4980.4981 |
2.9.4981.4982.4982.4983.4984.4984.4985.4985.4986.4986 |
3.0.4986.4987.4987.4988.4988.4989.4989.4989.4990.4990 |