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+ C *r = C

t+1 t+1 t

r - .

PV = = C /(1+r); 1/(1+r) -

t+1 t

-- ---------------------------------------------------------

 

 

,

,

().

 

PV A1 A2 A3

PV1

PV2

" r "

PV3

+-----------+------------+-------------+-------------------

0 1 2 3

 

 

1 = 0 + 0*r 1

1 = 0(1+r) ----> 0 = --------

(1+r)

PV1(0) = 1 * -----

(1+r)

2

2 = 1 +1*r2 ----> 1 = --------

(1+r2)

1=0(1+r1), 0(1+r)=A2/(1+r2)

 

0= 2/(1+r1)(1+r2) r1=r2

0= 2(1+r)^2

PV2(0) = 2/(1+r)^2

 

PV= PV1+PV2= A1/(1+r1)+A2/(1+r2)^2

.......................................

------------------------

PV= n/(1+rn)^n

L------------------------

 

 

= -

() NPV -

L------------------------------------------------------------

NPV = PV - I

, . - .

.

 

1999 B - .

H+. F - .

.

F+------.

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.

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B D

 

1.

.

"s" . Ÿ (1 + r), "r" - .

C ,

B*(1+r) = FH

F

------ = BD

1+r

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+

L-------+--------+--+-------98-

A B D

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(): .

, ( ):

C

= ------------------------ = r = ---

PV

: PV= C/(1+r) + C/(1+r)^2 +C/(1+r)^3 +...

,

a=C/(1+r); x=1/(1+r)

PV= a(1 + x + x^2 + x^3 +...)

x

PV*x=a(x +x^2 + x^3 +...)

,

PV(1-x)=a, PV=a/(1-x)

PV(1-1/(1+r))=C/1+r

------------

r = C/PV PV= C/r..........(1)

L------------

:

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, (1):

C1 C2

PV = ---- + ------- +......

1+r1 (1+r2)^2

)

"g", :

C

PV= -------

r - g

) (,)

"" "t"

- 1 1

PV = C - - ---------

L r r(1+r)^t-

 

2.

2.1.

1.- , .

2. ,

.

3. ...

4. ...

5. ...

6. -

:

- (

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- );

- ( ,

);

- ( , -

);

- ();

- ( , , ;

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1 ;

= ------ * ---------------; - ;

1 .. - -

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.. ..- -

..- -

(,)

2.2.

:

- ;

- .

DIV1 + P1 - P0

= r = ---------------

P0

"" , P1,DIV1,r:

 

DIV1 + P1

P0 = -----------

1 + r

"r" , (,1938)

 

DIV1 DIV1

P0 = ------- r = ----- + g

r - g P0

(" , -

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( .....)

:

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- 5 . 110 .

"r" :

5 + 110 - 100

r = ------------- =0.15 (15%)

( PV ,.,)

, 5% . 10,000 $,

 

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2.3.

,

"r"( ) :

N C(t)

PV = Sum ---------

t=1 (1 + r)^t

DIV1 / P0 "g"

 

ROE -

EPS -

EPS EPS1

ROE = --------------------------, r = -------.

P0

, -

,..:

C1 C2 C3 Ct

NPV =C0 + -------- + --------- + --------- +...+--------- =0

1 + IRR (1+IRR)^2 (1+IRR)^3 (1+IRR)^t

:

"" .

4,000 ; C1=2,000

C2=4000. (IRR):

2000 4000

NPV = 0 = -4000+------ +---------

1+IRR (1+IRR)^2

. IRR=0,NPV=2000;

IRR=0.5,NPV=-889; :

NPV

.

2000+

.

1000+

L-+--+--+--+--+-----------+----

10 20 30.40 50 100 %

.

.

,

 

1. ?

2. .

3. .

4. .

 

2.4.

PV

= ----.

-C0

 

,

1

:

 

 

IRR NPV

C0 C1 C2 C3 4 (%) r=10%

--------------------------------------------------------------

1 -1000 +1500 - - +50 +364

+1000 -1500 - - +50 -364

+1000 -3600 +4320 -1738 +20 -0.75

-------------------------------------------------------------

2 -4000 +25000 -25000 25 400 -1934

+1000 -3000 +2500 +339

-------------------------------------------------------------

3 -10000 +20000 100 8182

-20000 +35000 75 11818

- -10000 +15000 50 3636

------------------------------------------------------

-9000 +6000 +5000 +4000 - 33 3592

-9000 +1800 +1800 =3=4=5 20 9000

0(!) -6000 +1200 =3=4=5 20 6000

- 0 -4200 -3200 -2200 1800 15.6 5.408

--------------------------------------------------------------

NPV

C0 C1 .

r=10% r=10%

-------------------------------------------------------

-100 +200 182 1.82 82

-10000 +15000 13636 1.82 3636

- -9900 +14800 13454 1.36 3554

------------------------------------------------------------

 

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