( ) , X Y . y = bx + a + . - ( ).
.
an + b∑x = ∑y
a∑x + b∑x2 = ∑yx
7a + 104606.7 b = 1711947
104606.7 a + 1622428424.31 b = 27396404821.4
b = 30.63, a = -213146.91
:
y = 30.63 x - 213146.91
.
.
:
. , :
1.2. ( ).
y = 30.63 x -213146.91
.
:
, :
( ).
Sy0 = 58383205730.86 + 2841384862.97 = 61224590593.83
rxy.
:
.
, , .
R2= 0.982 = 0.9513
11. .
/ | . , . . x | , . ., y | x 2 | y 2 | x y | y(x) | (yi-ycp) 2 | (y-y(x))2 | (xi-xcp)2 | |y - yx|:y | |
19104.9 | 364997204.01 | 6650549424.3 | 372012.83 | 10721182432.73 | 571488550.78 | 17314634.32 | 0.0687 | ||||
- | 15069.9 | 227101886.01 | 248425.71 | 58616523.45 | 14396648.26 | 15897.61 | 0.015 | ||||
120247.34 | 15509179714.31 | 48108.47 | 16473973.41 | 0.0018 | |||||||
12350.8 | 152542260.64 | 2187623099.2 | 4548134331.45 | 143544388.17 | 6723723.09 | 0.0676 | |||||
18684.9 | 349125488.01 | 7413476978.7 | 359148.74 | 23164579086.45 | 1414832551.27 | 13995722.32 | 0.0948 | ||||
12889.2 | 166131476.64 | 2301959563.2 | 181633.53 | 4351758176.02 | 9226605.57 | 4221439.86 | 0.017 | ||||
265335.86 | 29755466.45 | 687848010.44 | 459935.86 | 0.11 | |||||||
: | 104606.7 | 1622428424.31 | 27396404821.4 | 58383205730.86 | 2841384862.97 | 59205326.47 | 0.37 |
|
|
, 2009 . 65,2 % , 1,6 % , 2005 . 2,1 % 1,8%, , 2,1%.
, , . , , , - , , , .
, , 5 12,8 % . 2005 2009 2009 . 112,8% .
2009 , 12 650 , 7 . 60 . . , , 2009 5083 .
, , 1/10 4,5 . . , 1/10 32,31 . . , 7,18 , 1/10 .
2005, 2009 , , 2009 0,2088 0,3804 2005, .
- .
1. 2010,
2. : / . .-. .. .- 3- ., . .- .: , 2002.
3. .. : . - .: "", 2005
4. .., .. . - .: "", 2003
5. . . ., . ., . . ., "-" 2008