.
2, - , . 8.
8
i | , / | |||||||
, / | - / | - / | - /- | / | / | |||
.7 , 5 . 9.
9
, | , ./100 |
5 | |
5 20 | |
20 50 | |
50 100 | |
100 |
-96-300 (j = 1) 16 (i = 1) .
-96-300 100 , 9 1409 ./100 .
:
11 = 0 + + 1 =
= S0 m1 + 2 (L1 - 20)S / 100 + S1 m1 =
= [142216 + 2(2800 - 20)1409 / 100 + 111216] / 1000 = 132,97..
- :
11-=0- + 1- = S0-m1 + S1-m1=(255 + 898)216/1000= 249,07..
:
11 = 0 + 2 = S0m1 + S1m1 =(105+ 528)216 / 1000 = 136,81..
:
1 = S0 + S1 = (1281+ 5545) / 1000 =6,83 ..
( ) :
P11 = + - + + =132,97 + 249,07 + 136,81 + 6,83 =525,67..
. 10.
10 , ..
-96-300 | -340 | |
132,97 | 141,82 | |
213,28 | 222,13 | |
250,10 | 261,90 | |
244,00 | 252,85 | |
- | ||
249,07 | 289,43 | |
121,40 | 141,07 | |
123,82 | 143,88 | |
170,53 | 198,16 | |
136,81 | 158,97 | |
50,15 | 58,27 | |
45,84 | 53,26 | |
84,51 | 98,20 | |
6,83 | 6,83 | |
2,97 | 2,97 | |
3,59 | 3,59 | |
4,68 | 4,68 |
|
|
10 , .. ()
-96-300 | -340 | ||
525,67 | 597,05 | ||
387,79 | 424,44 | ||
423,34 | 462,64 | ||
503,71 | 553,89 | ||
16 (i = 1) .
16 :
1¢ = S0 + S0 + S1 = (37 + 111 + 81) / 1000 = 0,229 ..
16 :
1¢¢ = S1 + S1 + S0 = (81 + 357 + 37) / 1000 = 0,475 ..
. 11.
11 1- , ..
0,229 | 0,475 | |
0,255 | 0,292 | |
0,206 | 0,211 | |
0,185 | 0,245 |
, , , .
. , :
1. (50%) , (50%) ;
2. 35% , 65% ;
3. 20% , 80% .
16 :
1 = 1¢ Q1¢ + 1¢¢ Q1¢¢.
1 :
1 = 0,2292188+ 0,4752188 = 501+1040 = 1541 ..
2 :
1 = 0,2291531 + 0,4752844 = 351+2080 = 2431 ..
3 :
1 = 0,229875 + 0,4753500 = 200+1664 = 1864 ..
. 12.
12
, . | , .. | ||||||
538,5 | 538,5 | ||||||
2977,8 | 5530,2 | ||||||
376,95 | 700,05 | ||||||
|
|
-96-300 (j = 1) 16 (i = 1), 19 (i = 2), 21 (i = 3), 23 (i = 4) .
1- 1-, 2-, 3-, 4- :
m11 = L1m1max(1 + k) / D1 = 2800114,5(1 + 0,06) / 11000 = 30,89
m21 = L2m1max(1 + k) / D1 = 5650114,5(1 + 0,06) / 11000 = 62,34
m31 = L3m1max(1 + k) / D1 = 6310114,5(1 + 0,06) / 11000 = 69,62
m41 = L4m1max(1 + k) / D1 = 6740114,5(1 + 0,06) / 11000 = 74,37
, 1- , :
m1max = 114,5 2m11 = 230,89 = 61,78,
, , , m1max; , 1- , , .
:
110 = 2*m1max0 = 2*30,8915940 / 1000 = 984,91 ..
111 = 0 ..
P21 = 110 + 112 = 984,91 + 0 = 984,91 ..
2- :
m1max = 114,5 < 2m21 = 2 62,34 = 124,68 ..
, , , m1max; , 2- , , .
:
210 = m1max0 = 114,515940 / 1000 = 1825,13 ..
212 = (2m21 - m1max)2 = (262,34 114,5)17263 / 1000 = 175,74 ..
P21 = 210 + 212 = 1825,13 + 175,74 = 2000,87 ..
. 13.
13
-96-300 | -340 | |
, | ||
30,89 | 22,11 | |
62,34 | 44,61 |
13- , .. ()
-96-300 | -340 | |
, | ||
69,62 | 49,82 | |
74,37 | 53,22 | |
, .. | ||
984,91 | 704,78 | |
1825,13 | 1422,14 | |
1825,13 | 1588,27 | |
1825,13 | 1614,72 | |
i- , .. | ||
0,00 | 0,00 | |
175,74 | 0,00 | |
449,26 | 0,00 | |
664,64 | 99,61 | |
, .. | ||
984,91 | 704,78 | |
2000,87 | 1422,14 | |
2274,39 | 1588,27 | |
2489,77 | 1714,33 |
. 3-4 13,17 ..
-96-300 -340, 1 .2:
S1 = S2 = 13,175 = 65,85 ..
-96-300 (j = 1) 16 (i = 1) .
:
P11 = S1 T11 = 65,856,8 = 447,78 ..
|
|
. 14.
14 , ..
-96-300 | -340 | |
-, ../ | 65,85 | 65,85 |
14 , .. ()
-96-300 | -340 | ||
447,78 | 428,68 | ||
865,27 | 825,76 | ||
961,41 | 917,29 | ||
1024,63 | 977,21 |
-96-300 (j = 1) 16 (i = 1) .
( ) :
11 = P11 + P11 + P11 = 525,67 + 984,91 + 447,78 = 1958,36 . .
:
11 = 11 / P1 / 2 = 1958,36 / 300 / 2 = 3,26 ..
. 15.
15 ( ), . .
-96-300 | -340 | |
1958,36 | 1730,51 | |
3253,93 | 2672,34 | |
3659,14 | 2968,20 | |
4018,11 | 3245,43 | |
1 | ||
3,26 | 2,25 | |
5,42 | 3,47 | |
6,10 | 3,85 | |
6,70 | 4,21 |
i . , 20%.
, r, :
i = (maxj J ij + max{ , })(1 + r), i {1, I}.
16 (i = 2).
2 = (maxj J 2j + max{ , })(1 + r) = (max {3,26;2,25 } +
+ max{0,229;0,475 })(1 + 0,2) = (3,26+0,475)1,2 = 3,7351,2 = 4,482 ..
. 16.
16 1 , ..
max{ } | ||||
3,26 | 0,475 | 3,735 | 4,482 | |
5,42 | 0,292 | 5,712 | 6,854 | |
6,1 | 0,211 | 6,311 | 7,573 | |
6,7 | 0,245 | 6,945 | 8,334 |
, .
:
Pj Nj ³ Qi / Mi,
3005+3855=3425 ³ 3500/12+6806/6+862/6 + 8912/6 = 3055 .
:
= Cij Xij = 1871,7 X11 + 1629,81 X12 + 3249,62 X21 + 2667,33 X22 + 3697,81 X31 + 3013,13 X32 +3956,28 X41 + 3173,58 X42 min.
j- :
Xi1 / Mi1 £ N1, Xi2 / Mi2 £ N2;
X11 / 12 + X21 / 6 + X31 / 6 + X41 / 6 £ 5,
X12 / 12 + X22 / 6 + X32 / 6+ X42 / 6 £ 5,
:
X1j Pj g ³ Q1, X2j Pj g ³ Q2, X3j Pj g ³ Q3, X4j Pj g ³ Q4.
|
|
g.
1
g = 0,6 180 X11 + 231 X12 ³ 2188;
180 X21 + 231 X22 ³ 4254;
180 X31 + 231 X32 ³ 539;
180 X41 + 231 X42 ³ 5570;
g = 0,7 210 X11 + 269 X12 ³ 2188;
210 X21 + 269 X22 ³ 4254;
210 X31 + 269 X32 ³ 539;
210 X41 + 269 X42 ³ 5570;
g = 0,8 240 X11 + 308 X12 ³ 2188;
240 X21 + 308 X22 ³ 4254;
240 X31 + 308 X32 ³ 539;
240 X41 + 308 X42 ³ 5570.
2
g = 0,6 180 X11 + 231 X12 ³ 2844;
180 X21 + 231 X22 ³ 5530;
180 X31 + 231 X32 ³ 700;
180 X41 + 231 X42 ³ 7241;
g = 0,7 210 X11 + 269 X12 ³ 2844;
210 X21 + 269 X22 ³ 5530;
210 X31 + 269 X32 ³ 700;
210 X41 + 269 X42 ³ 7241;
g = 0,8 240 X11 + 308 X12 ³ 2844;
240 X21 + 308 X22 ³ 5530;
240 X31 + 308 X32 ³ 700;
240 X41 + 308 X42 ³ 7241.
3
g = 0,6 180 X11 + 231 X12 ³ 3500;
180 X21 + 231 X22 ³ 6806;
180 X31 + 231 X32 ³ 862;
180 X41 + 231 X42 ³ 8912;
g = 0,7 210 X11 + 269 X12 ³ 3500;
210 X21 + 269 X22 ³ 6806;
210 X31 + 269 X32 ³ 862;
210 X41 + 269 X42 ³ 8912;
g = 0,8 240 X11 + 308 X12 ³ 3500;
240 X21 + 308 X22 ³ 6806;
240 X31 + 308 X32 ³ 862;
240 X41 + 308 X42 ³ 8912.
1 MS Excel. 17 18.
0,6 | 0,7 | 0,8 | ||||||
-96-300 | -340 | -96-300 | -340 | -96-300 | -340 | |||
0,850 | 1,000 | 0,550 | 1,000 | 0,333 | 1,000 | |||
1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 0,800 | 1,000 | |||
1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 |
18 , . .
0,6 | 0,7 | 0,8 | ||
183475,67 | 150037,97 | 127584,4 | ||
200216,84 | 197723,77 | |||
215401,3 | 201701,64 | 196684,39 |
18 , .. ()
0,6 | 0,7 | 0,8 | |||
189961,67 | 156523,97 | 134070,4 | |||
209646,84 | 207153,77 | ||||
222509,30 | 208809,64 | 203792,39 | |||
6 MS Excel ( )
: c - . 1 ( 0,8), 3 ( 0.6).
, .
( ) :
= [Yi′ (i - i′) + Yi′′ (i - i′′)] - Cij Xij = Y1′ (4,314 - 0,229) + Y2′ (6,854 - 0,255) + Y3′ (7,645 - 0,206) + Y4′(8,202 - 0,185) + Y1′ (4,314 - 0,475) + Y2′ (6,854 - 0,292) + Y3′ (7,645 - 0,211) + Y4′(8,202 - 0,245) - 1871,7 X11 + 1629,81 X12 + 3249,62 X21 + 2667,33 X22 + 3697,81 X31 + 3013,13 X32 +3956,28 X41 + 3173,58 X42 max.
Xi1 / Mi1 £ N1, Xi2 / Mi2 £ N2;
|
|
X11 / 12 + X21 /6+ X31 /6+ X41 / 6 £ 5,
X12 / 12 + X22 / 6 + X32 / 6 + X42 / 6 £ 5,
:
Y1¢ £ Q1¢, Y1¢¢ £ Q1¢¢, Y2¢ £ Q2¢, Y2¢¢ £ Q2¢¢,
Y3¢ £ Q3¢, Y3¢¢ £ Q3¢¢, Y4¢ £ Q4¢, Y4¢¢ £ Q4¢.
:
Y1¢ £ X1j Pj g, Y1¢¢ £ X1j Pj g, Y2¢ £ X2j Pj g, Y2¢¢ £ X2j Pj g,
Y3¢ £ X3j Pj g, Y3¢¢ £ X3j Pj g, Y4¢ £ X4j Pj g, Y4¢¢ £ X4j Pj g.
g.
:
g = 0,6 Y1¢ £ 180 X11 + 231 X12,
Y1¢¢ £ 180 X11 + 231 X12,
Y2¢ £ 180 X21 + 231 X22
Y2¢¢ £ 180 X21 + 231 X22;
Y3¢ £ 180 X31 + 231 X32,
Y3¢¢ £ 180 X31 + 231 X32,
Y4¢ £ 180 X41 + 231 X42
Y4¢¢ £ 180 X41 + 231 X42;
g = 0,7 Y1¢ £ 210 X11 + 269 X12,
Y1¢¢ £ 210 X11 + 269 X12,
Y2¢ £ 210 X21 + 269 X22
Y2¢¢ £ 210 X21 + 269 X22;
Y3¢ £ 210 X31 + 269 X32,
Y3¢¢ £ 210 X31 + 269 X32,
Y4¢ £ 210 X41 + 269 X42
Y4¢¢ £ 210 X41 + 269 X42;
g = 0,8 Y1¢ £ 240 X11 + 308 X12,
Y1¢¢ £ 240 X11 + 308 X12,
Y2¢ £ 240 X21 + 308 X22
Y2¢¢ £ 240 X21 + 308 X22;
Y3¢ £ 240 X31 + 308 X32,
Y3¢¢ £ 240 X31 + 308 X32,
Y4¢ £ 240 X41 + 308 X42
Y4¢¢ £ 240 X41 + 308 X42.
:
1:
Y1¢ £ 2188, Y1¢¢ £ 2188, Y2¢ £ 4254, Y2¢¢ £ 4254;
Y3¢ £ 539, Y3¢¢ £539, Y4¢ £ 5570, Y4¢¢ £5570;
2:
Y1¢ £ 1531, Y1¢¢ £ 2844, Y2¢ £ 2978, Y2¢¢ £ 5530;
Y3¢ £ 377, Y3¢¢ £ 700, Y4¢ £ 3899, Y4¢¢ £ 7241;
3:
Y1¢ £ 875, Y1¢¢ £ 3500, Y2¢ £ 1702, Y2¢¢ £ 6806,
Y3¢ £ 215, Y3¢¢ £ 862, Y4¢ £ 2228, Y4¢¢ £ 8912.
19 20. 2 MS Excel.
7 MS Excel ( )
19 , ..
0,6 | 0,7 | 0,8 | |
58085,476 | 77710,707 | 86476,745 | |
48681,106 | 59664,539 | 70240,131 | |
35031,618 | 42078,288 | 50890,994 | |
93481,38 | 92509,579 | 85967,62 | |
78300,71 | 84477,88 | 75080,46 | |
46198,42 | 69680,69 | 64489,16 |
20
0,6 | 0,7 | 0,8 | |||||||||||
-96-300 | -340 | -96-300 | -340 | -96-300 | -340 | ||||||||
0,0000 | 1,0000 | 0,0000 | 1,0000 | 0,0000 | 0,9333 | ||||||||
0,0000 | 0,8500 | 0,0000 | 0,9000 | 0,0000 | 0,8000 | ||||||||
0,0000 | 0,5000 | 0,0000 | 0,7167 | 0,0000 | 0,6667 |
: 1 ( 0,8), 3 ( 0,6).
() , .
, , , .
MS Excel.
1. : / .. , .. , .. . , 2010. 38 .
2. . 02068410-004-2007
.1 | ||||||
, | -, . | , . | , / | , | ||
-114 | 25.0 | 14.0 | 1 000 | |||
-40 | 16.1 | 3.0 | 1 200 | |||
-42 | 52.0 | 19.1 | 1 850 | |||
-140 | 21.5 | 4.5 | 2 320 | |||
-24 | 21.8 | 4.8 | 2 500 | |||
-148 | 39.0 | 12.1 | 3 600 | |||
-10 | 54.0 | 17.3 | 3 350 | |||
-204 | 93.5 | 24.0 | 3 500 | |||
-334 | 48.0 | 10.1 | 3 150 | |||
-134 | 47.6 | 16.5 | 3 600 | |||
-154 | 100.0 | 25.3 | 3 700 | |||
Boeing 747 | 394.6 | 161.6 | 4 600 | |||
MD-87 | 67.8 | 19.7 | 5 250 | |||
-320 | 73.5 | 23.9 | 5 300 | |||
-86 | 206.0 | 60.0 | 5 800 | |||
Boeing 737 | 62.8 | 16.2 | 6 020 | |||
Boeing 757 | 184.6 | 68.3 | 9 000 | |||
-330 | 208.0 | 70.1 | 9 175 | |||
DC-10-30 | 259.5 | 116.0 | 10 280 | |||
-62 | 165.0 | 83.3 | 10 500 | |||
-96-300 | 216.0 | 114.5 | 11 000 | |||
-340 | 251.0 | 101.3 | 13 600 |
.2 | ||
, | ||
75 | 20 | |
30-75 | 10-20 | |
10-30 | 20 | |
10 | - |
.3 | ||||||
, . | ||||||
I | 160 | |||||
II | 71-160 | |||||
III | 30-70 | |||||
IV | 30 | |||||
.4 | ||||||
3-4 | ||||||
.5 , | ||||
Ι | 1,50 | 2,10 | 0,90 | 0,90 |
ΙΙ | 1,00 | 1,20 | 0,80 | 0,90 |
ΙΙΙ-ΙV | 0,55 | 0,75 | 0,40 | 0,80 |
.6 | |||
, | |||
5 | 1.000 | ||
5 20 | 1.821 | ||
20 50 | 2.863 | ||
50 100 | 4.863 | ||
100 | 6.905 |
.7 | |||
- | 0.557 | ||
- | 1.000 | ||
0.413 | |||
5.022 | |||
0.143 | |||
0.435 |
.8 | ||||||||
, | ||||||||
- | - | - | ||||||
1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | ||
0.781 | 1.078 | 1.284 | 1.082 | 1.030 | 1.110 | 1.006 | ||
0.859 | 0.900 | 1.211 | 1.126 | 0.758 | 0.760 | 0.952 | ||
1.484 | 1.013 | 1.368 | 1.307 | 0.788 | 0.710 | 1.000 | ||
1.086 | 1.409 | 1.316 | 1.818 | 1.818 | 1.460 | 1.024 |
.8 ()
, | ||||||||
- | - | - | ||||||
0.961 | 1.309 | 1.695 | 1.814 | 1.152 | 1.450 | 1.105 | ||
0.781 | 0.513 | 0.832 | 0.972 | 1.061 | 0.890 | 1.031 | ||
0.781 | 1.652 | 2.053 | 1.359 | 1.182 | 1.250 | 1.024 | ||
0.781 | 0.957 | 1.579 | 1.307 | 1.394 | 0.980 | 0.967 | ||
0.922 | 0.922 | 1.179 | 1.931 | 2.000 | 1.310 | 1.000 | ||
0.781 | 0.991 | 1.116 | 1.290 | 1.000 | 0.940 | 1.015 | ||
0.781 | 0.809 | 0.895 | 1.229 | 0.394 | 0.650 | 1.015 | ||
0.781 | 1.422 | 2.326 | 1.351 | 1.485 | 1.170 | 1.055 | ||
0.922 | 0.809 | 1.158 | 1.333 | 1.394 | 1.250 | 0.989 | ||
0.727 | 0.930 | 1.400 | 1.571 | 2.576 | 1.910 | 1.045 | ||
0.906 | 1.004 | 1.453 | 1.599 | 1.273 | 1.250 | 1.042 | ||
0.781 | 3.522 | 5.032 | 4.329 | 2.182 | 3.220 | 1.380 | ||
0.773 | 1.217 | 1.337 | 1.814 | 0.758 | 0.940 | 0.919 | ||
0.781 | 2.978 | 2.737 | 2.165 | 1.576 | 1.280 | 1.218 | ||
0.781 | 1.204 | 1.211 | 1.316 | 2.879 | 1.340 | 1.083 | ||
0.859 | 3.300 | 2.663 | 3.327 | 2.333 | 3.700 | 1.329 | ||
1.375 | 1.248 | 1.021 | 1.801 | 1.576 | 1.040 | 1.139 | ||
0.859 | 2.065 | 2.495 | 2.885 | 1.182 | 1.150 | 1.343 | ||
0.781 | 2.096 | 2.726 | 2.653 | 1.000 | 1.540 | 1.218 |