1. - ( , , ).
2. .
3. .
4. .
5. , .
6. - .
7. .
8. .
9. .
10. .
11. () , .
12. .
13. .
14. : .
15. , .
16. .
17. .
18. () .
19. () .
1
(2012 .), . 1.2.1.
1.2.1- (2012 .)
| , . | |
. 1.2.1 :
1. 2012 ., .
2. ().
1
n . . , .
|
|
|
2
. 1.2.2 :
1. , ( ).
2. , , 79 . . ().
2
- , . . (Q) (X) :
Q = + b×,
- Y;
b - .
1.2.2 -
| / | (t) | (Qt), . . | (X),. . | Q (.2 × .3) | , (.3 × .3) |
( ) . .
|
( ) . .
|
| I . 2012 . | 137,0 | 16,0 | |||||
| II . 2012 . | 206,0 | 18,0 | |||||
| III . 2012 . | 286,0 | 25,0 | |||||
| IV . 2012 . | 332,0 | 30,0 | |||||
| I . 2013 . | 402,0 | 46,0 | |||||
| II . 2013 . | 482,0 | 51,0 | |||||
| III . 2013 . | 506,0 | 58,0 | |||||
, b, Q . , b
n - ;
- c .
(
) ( . 2: . 8/7).
|
|
|
(
) ( . 3 . 8/7).
3
. 1.2.3 , , :
1. , , : (R2), (Se).
2. ().
1.2.3 -
| / | (t) | (Q),. . | (X),. . | , . . | ||
| I . 2012 . | 137,0 | 16,0 | ||||
| II . 2012 . | 206,0 | 18,0 | ||||
| III . 2012 . | 286,0 | 25,0 | ||||
| IV . 2012 . | 332,0 | 30,0 | ||||
| I . 2013 . | 402,0 | 46,0 | ||||
| II . 2013 . | 482|0 | 51,0 | ||||
| III . 2013 . | 506,0 | 58,0 | ||||
| .5 .6 (.1 +... + .7) | ||||||
| (1 - .5 .8/ .6 .8) |
3
, . Q, . 0 1. R2, . ,
Qt - t- ;
- .
, , () .
4
(. 1.2.4).
1.2.4 - 2012 .
| (Q), . | (S), . . | |
. 1.2.4 :
1. b , .
2. ().
|
|
|
4
, , . () (b), , . :
= + b × X,
- ( );
- ( ).
, (Q). (S), , .
.
b = (S max - S min) / (Q max - Q min),
Q max - , ;
Smin - , ;
Qmin - , ;
Smin - , .
, . (S) .
a = S b × X.
b . , .
5
.1.2.5 :
1. , .
2. g, (EF).
3. () ( . 1.2.6).
4. ( . 1.2.7). . (EF*).
5. EF* ( ).
|
|
|
6. ().
1.2.5 -
,
| , . . | % () | |||
| , | ||||
| 1. | ||||
| 2. () | ||||
| 3. (.1 + .2) | ||||
| 4. | ||||
| 5. | ||||
| 6. | ||||
| 7. (.4 + .5 + .6) | ||||
| 8. (.3 + .7) | ||||
| , ( ) | ||||
| 9. | ||||
| 10. | ||||
| 11. (.9 + .10) | ||||
| , | ||||
| 12. () | 100,0 | |||
| 13. (, ) | ||||
| 14. | ||||
| 15. | ||||
| 16. (. 13 + . 14 + . 15) | ||||
| 17. () (.12 - .16) | ||||
1.2.5
| 18. , . | 0,2 | X |
| 19. (.17 ×(1-.18)) | ||
| 20. | ||
| 21. , - (.19 - .20) | ||
| 22. , , , . | 0,25 | X |
| 23. , (.21 × .22) |
5
, , , . (), () ,
= A/N0 ×(N1 -N0) K/N0 × (N1, - N0),
- , . .;
- , , . .;
N1 N0 - ,
. .
(EF)
EF = ΔN (A/N0 K/N0) - = ΔN (A/N0 K/N0) - (P1 1),
ΔN - (N1 N0), . .;
1 - , , . .;
- , . .;
1 - , c , . .
g (g = ΔN/N0), o (1 + g) N0. :
P1 = (N1× P0/N0) × (l - tax) - Int,
0 - , . .;
tax - , .;
Int - , , . .
|
|
|
, , , , , , , , , . () .
, , .
1.2.6 -
(, )
| / | () , % | , . . ((1 +.1/100)× ×N0) | , . . | , . . (p.2×d) | , , . . (p.4cp.10/W×p.2) | , . . (.4-.5) | , . . (.3 - .6) |
| 20,0 | |||||||
| 18,0 | |||||||
| 17,0 | |||||||
| 16,0 | |||||||
| 15,0 | |||||||
| 12,0 | |||||||
 7
| 11,23 | ||||||
| 10,0 | |||||||
| 2,44 | |||||||
| -3,0 | |||||||
| -5,0 | |||||||
 : 1. (N0) 37490 . . 2. () (d), . 3. (W) 40800 . .; , ( .5 () , 0%, ).
|
1.2.7 -
-
| () (g), . | () - | () (EF*),. . | (+, -), . . | |||||||
| N0, . . | 0, . . | Fe, . | , . | , . | ρ. . | , . | ||||
| , | ||||||||||
| ||||||||||
| ( 1) | ||||||||||
| ( 2) | ||||||||||
| ( 3) |
 |
, ( ), , .
. :
EF = Δ - - Δ = F1 + 1 0 - - Δ =
= F1 + (1 +g)× N0 × (1/ - 1/ - ρ ) - 0,
F1 - , . .;
- (N1/E1), ;
1 - , . .;
- (N1,/K1,), ;
1 - , . .;
ρ - (P1/N1), .;
- , (/), .;
0 - , . .
, ,
EF* = EF - (F1 - Fopt),
Fopt - , . .
:
Fopt = F0WN0 × (1 + g)= 
× N0 × (1 + g),
- , .
W - , . .
EF* - :
EF* = N0 × (1 + g) × ( + 1/Te- 1/ - ρ × ) 0
f = a × (I + x) × (b + 1/y - 1/z - q × u) - ,
a, b, - ;
x, , z. q, u - () -.
6
. , . . 1.2.8.
1.2.8 - , . .
| (01.01.2011 .) | 01.01.2012 . | |
| : | ||
| 1094,0 | X | |
| 529,1 | 2188,0 | |
| X | 286,7 | |
| X | 136,5 | |
| , | X | |
| : - | X | 105,67 |
| X | 56,21 | |
| X | 35,493 | |
| () | X | |
| : | X | 41,8 |
| ( ) | X | 14,0 |
| 1 | X | 22,0 |
, - , . . 1.2.9.
1.2.9 -
| (31.12.12 .) | (31.12.2013 .) | |
| , . . | 17400,0 | 40600,0 |
| ( ) , . . | 18880,0 | 31860,0 |
, 10% , - 5% . , , , , , . , . . 1.2.10.
. , . ( 2020 .) 5830,5 . ., ( ) 18330,3 . . , - 800,0 . . , 15% , 480,5 . . . 1.2.11.
1.2.10 -
2011, 2012 2013 ., . .
| 31.12 2011 . | 31.12 2012 . | 31.12 2013 . | ||
| ( ) | ||||
| : | ||||
| 873,469 | 917,27 | 915,27 | ||
| 281,75 | 573,5 | 576,5 | ||
| 208,516 | 419,072 | 411,072 | ||
| () | ||||
1.2.11 - , . .
| 2020 . | |
| () | |
| , | |
1.2.12- , . .
| 2010 . | 01.01.11 . | 31.12.11 . | 31.12.12 . | 31.12.13-31.12.15 . | 31.12.16 . | 31.12.17 . | 31.12.18-31.12.20 . | |
| (), | ||||||||
| : | ||||||||
| () | ||||||||
 ()
| ||||||||
:
1. . 1.2.8.
2. 2011, 2012 2013 . .1.2.10.
3. . 1.2.11.
4. , . 1.2.8, 1.2.10 1.2.11, . 1.2.12.
5. ().
6
, , . :
;
;
.
() (-), t (+, -) (+, -).
. 1.2.12 . (. 1.2.11), , . ( ) . 1.2.13.
1.2.13 - ,
| 2019 . | |
| , . . (+) | |
| , . . (-) | |
| () , . . (+) | |
| , . . (+) | |
| , . . (-) | |
| , , . . | |
| () , . . | |
| ( 20%), . . |
, , . , ( , , ), , . , .
7
( 1 2013 .) 60,0 . . . 1.2.14 .
1.2.14 -
, , . .
| 22,5 |
20% , 80% - ( ). . 3,6 . . ( ), . 15 . ., . , 12 . ., . 30 . . 24 . . :
- - 20% ;
- - 10% .
1.2.15 - 2013 ., . .
| : | ||||||||
| (+) | ||||||||
1.2.15
| ( ) | ||||||||
| ( ) | ||||||||
| (-) | ||||||||
| ( ) | ||||||||
1,8 . . , , , (30 2013 .) 7,2 . . .
:
1. ( ) 2013 . (. 1.2.15), (. 1.2.16) 1 2013 . (. 1.2.17).
2. , 2013 .
3. ().
1.2.16- , . .
| ( ) | ||
| , | ||
| () | ||
| () |
1.2.17 - , . p.
| I. | |||
| ( ) | |||
| II. | |||
| , | |||
| III. | |||
| V. | |||
| () | |||
7
(), .
() : . , . (. 1.2.18 1.2.20). , , . , CF () (. 1.2.19). , (, , .).
1.2.18 - () .
| , , . . (+) | |
| , , . . (-) | |
| , . . (-) | |
| , . . (+, -) | |
| () , . . |
1.2.19 - () .
| () , . . (+) | |
| , . .(+) | |
| , . . (-) | |
| , . . (-) | |
