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.. (.. Whelpton, 1893-1964). .: Bogue D.J. Techniques for Making Population Projections: Age-Sex Projections. Chicago, 1980. P. 8. Reprinted in: Readings in Population Research Methodology. Volume 5. Population Models, Projections and Estimates. Chicago, 1993. P. 17-7- 17-10.
( , ) , -, , 3:
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t, . , . . . ( ).
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(on an age-specific basis). . (as age-specific survival rations) . -, . , , , .
, 1 5 . , , , , , . , , . , . , , . , , . , . , (validity) (utility) , .
Bogue D.J. Techniques for Making Population Projections: Age-Sex Projections. Chicago, 1980. P. 8. Reprinted in: Readings in Population Research Methodology. Volume 5. Population Models, Projections and Estimates. Chicago, 1993. P. 17-7.
, , .
to ( ) x0. : , , -, , . ( +1) t1 :
(Lx Lx+l - +1 ), Msx - .
0 .
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- ; ASFRX - ; Fx - . , (1-5), 8 - , 0,507 0,517, 0,512 ( , 105 100). , - , 0 .
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