1
:
: , .
() . , , ,
Z1 | F1 | ||
Z2 | F2 | ||
Z3 | F3 | ||
Z4 | F4 | ||
Z5 | F5 | ||
Z6 | F6 | ||
Z7 | F7 | ||
Z8 | F8 | ||
Z9 | F9 |
, .
Zi {, , }, Fi: 0.84< Fi<0.99. Zi Fi .
, , , , - :
Z- ; ; - S- . . [1.5,9], [0.08,0.5]. . , , , , .
, : min-; prod-; average-.
: ; ; ; .
|
|
: ; ; ; .
.
http://nrsu.bstu.ru/chap27.html
. : .
, .
, , . , , (), .
() , . . .
() , .
0 1. 0, . 1, .
( ) = 1 () , .
(:) (:) , .. , .
, . (1&2) 1 2. . . 1 2 ,
(1&2)= (1) × (2).
(:) , , . , (:)=(). :
(:)=(&)/ ().
,
(:)=(&)/().
:
(:)=(:)× () / ().
:
(:)=(:) × () / ((:) × ()+(:) × ()).
1 2 :
(1&2:)= (1:) × (2:)
, , , 1, 2,, n. , :
(:)= (1:) × (2:) × × (n:),
(:), - , , i . (:) (i:).
, i. , :
|
|
1) () .
2) i (i:). (i:).
3) , (:i) (:i) i, . . .
4) .
5) i 1.
, ( ) , , .
. 1.
1
_1 | |
_2 | |
. | .. |
N | _N |
. , <_1>, <_2> . . , _1 " ?" " ?" , . . 2.
2
() | [j, (:), (:)] | ||
_1 | (1) | [j, (:1), (:1)] | |
_2 | (2) | [j, (:2), (:2)] | |
.. | . | .. | |
N | _N | (n) | [j, (:n), (:n)] |
. "" . () , . . . . j . P(E:H) P(E: H) "" , .
. (. 3).
3
0.01 | (1, 0.9, 0.01); (2, 1, 0.01); (3, 0, 0.01) |
: P(H)=0.01, .
, 1 ( 1). : P(E:H)=0.9 P(E: H)=0.01. , , 0.9 "" , , "" 0.1. "" , . "" , .
(2, 1, 0.01). P(E:H)=0.9, .. , . P(E: )=0.01, .
3 "", P(E:H)=0. , , : " ?"
, :
1) ( );
2) P(H). , , () , , .
3) . , "" "", "", "", " ", (, -5 +5), .
|
|
4) ;
5) . , , . , , . , , . , , . - 3.
, , , . :
- ();
- (:).
, - . , , , , , , . , 100 700 , , , 70100 (70000 + 100 ) . - .
ѻ
, . 1.
. 1.
, . , , . ( 10000 ). ( ). , . 2.
. ѻ, (. 2), .
. 2. ѻ
. :
- -5 ( ) +5 ( );
- ( 0 1).
. .
. . ( ), . . . ( : - , , ).
|
|
, , ( ), . , .
1. ѻ. , . .
(, ):
1) ?
2) ?
3) ?
4) ?
5) ?
6) ?
7) ?
8) ( 37 º)?
9) ?
10) ?
11) ?
12) ?
13) "3" ?
14) ?
15) ?
16) ?
17) ?
18) ?
19) ?
20) , ""?
21) ?
22) ?
23) , ?
24) ? - 60-80 70 20 .
27) , ?
27) ?
28) , ?
29) ?
30) ( ) ?
31) ?
32) ?
33) ?
34) ?
35) ( ) - ?
36) ( )?
37) , ?
38) ?
39) ?
40) "" ( , )?
40) ?
42) ?
43) ?
44) ?
45) ?
46) (, )?
47) - ?
48) ? ?
49) ?
50) , ?
51) ( )?
52) ( ) ?
53) ?
54) ?
55) ?
56) ( )?
57) ?
58) ?
59) ?
60) - ( )?
61) - ?
62) - ?
63) ?
64) ?
|
|
65) - ?
66) ?
67) ?
68) ?
69) - , , ( , , )?
( ):
, 0.02, 1,0.9,0.05, 2,0.8,0.02, 3,0.8,0.02, 5,0.6,0.01, 6,1,0.01, 7,0.2,0.01, 8,0.5,0.01, 15,0.8,0.01, 34,0,0.01
, 0.01, 1,1,0.01, 2,1,0.01, 6,0.9,0.01, 10,0.7,0.1, 11,0.7,0.01, 12,0.6,0.01, 20,0.9,0.01
, 0.01, 14,0.08,0.01, 13,0.9,0.01, 15,0.8,0.01, 7,0.6,0.01, 22,0.5,0.01, 2,0.5,0.001, 6,0.5,0.01, 63,0.9,0.01
, 0.02, 3,1,0.01, 16,0.9,0.01, 8,0.5,0.01, 11,0.9,0.01, 37,0.8,0.3, 64,0.4,0.01
, 0.001, 3,1,0.01, 7,0.9,0.01, 15,1,0.01, 16,0.7,0.01, 19,0,0.5, 8,0.8,0.01, 34,0,0.01, 64,0.8,0.01
, 0.01, 3,0.9,0.01, 1,0.9,0.01, 6,0.5,0.01, 7,0.7,0.01, 8,1,0.01, 15,1,0.01, 17,0.8,0.01, 18,0.6,0.01, 34,0,0.01
, 0.01, 4,1,0.01, 8,0.6,0.01, 15,0.05,0.01, 16,0.17,0.01, 37,0.8,0.3
, 0.00004, 4,1,0.01, 34,0.99,0.01, 37,0.8,0.3
, 0.006, 5,1,0.01, 8,1,0.01, 12,1,0.01, 15,1,0.01, 18,0.5,0.01, 21,1,0.01, 31,0.9,0.01, 34,0,0.01, 22,0.9,0.01
, 0.005, 5,1,0.01, 12,0.9,0.01, 14,0.5,0.01, 21,1,0.01, 22,0.8,0.01, 34,1,0.01, 36,0.9,0.01, 37,0.8,0.3
, 0.02, 12,0.8,0.01, 22,1,0.01, 23,0.5,0.01, 24,0.5,0.01, 25,0.5,0.01, 26,0.5,0.01, 31,0.8,0.01
, 0.01, 22,1,0.01, 5,0.001,0.01, 26,0.8,0.01, 12,0.001,0.01, 21,0.01,0.01, 37,0.8,0.3
, 0.003, 8,1,0.01, 15,1,0.01, 18,0.8,0.01, 22,1,0.01, 23,0.5,0.01, 26,0.5,0.01, 28,1,0.01, 29,0.02,0.01, 27,0.2,0.01, 31,0.9,0.01, 36,1,0.9, 7,0.9,0.01, 17,0.9,0.01, 32,0.5,0.001
, 0.001, 31,0.8,0.01, 32,0.8,0.01, 22,0.5,0.01, 5,0.8,0.01, 8,0.9,0.01, 15,1,0.01
, 0.0002, 18,0.8,0.01, 22,0.8,0.01, 32,0.8,0.01
, 0.000011, 21,1,0.0, 27,0.5,0.01, 5,1,0.01, 14,0.5,0.01
, 0.000011, 33,0.9,0.01, 18,0.5,0.01, 21,0.5,0.01, 27,0.5,0.01
, 0.001, 22,1,0.01, 36,1,0.01, 21,0.8,0.01, 9,1,0.001
, 0.001, 5,1,0.01, 21,0.8,0.01, 27,0.5,0.01, 22,0.5,0.01, 18,0.8,0.01, 12,0.5,0.01, 37,0.99,0.3
, 0.000011, 22,0.8,0.01, 35,0.8,0.01, 21,0.6,0.01
, 0.001, 22,0.9,0.01, 25,0.9,0.01, 30,0.5,0.01, 27,0.5,0.01, 26,0.5,0.01, 12,0.8,0.01
, 0.01, 41,0.8,0.01, 43,0.8,0.01, 42,0.5,0.01, 8,0.4,0.01, 37,0.9,0.5
, 0.001, 18,0.9,0.01, 32,0.5,0.001, 42,0.8,0.001, 57,0.9,0.01, 16,0.9,0.01, 41,0.8,0.01
, 0.01, 37,0.8,0.2, 42,0.99,0.001, 41,0.8,0.01
, 0.01, 42,0.9,0.001, 18,0.5,0.01, 20,0.8,0.01, 41,0.7,0.01, 56,0.9,0.01, 62,0.0001,0.01
, 0.001, 42,0.6,0.001, 43,0.5,0.01, 41,0.5,0.01, 8,0.5,0.01, 49,0.5,0.01
, 0.0001, 42,0.9,0.001, 43,0.9,0.01, 15,0.9,0.01, 8,0.7,0.01, 62,0.00001,0.01
, 0.000011, 42,0.9,0, 43,0.8,0.01, 41,0.5,0.01
, 0.001, 34,0.1,0.9, 42,0.9,0.001, 41,0.8,0.01, 8,0.8,0.01, 44,0,0.5
, 0.001, 42,0.5,0.001, 41,0.9,0.01, 43,0.9,0.01, 7,0.8,0.01
, 0.01, 41,0.8,0.01, 42,0.7,0.001, 43,0.9,0.01, 8,0.5,0.01
, 0.001, 42,0.7,0.001
, 0.001, 42,0.9,0.001, 8,0.8,0.01, 41,0.7,0.01, 67,0.9,0.01
, 0.01, 42,0.5,0.001, 41,0.5,0.01, 57,0.9,0.01
, 0.001, 42,0.8,0.001, 8,0.9,0.01, 41,0.8,0.01, 45,0.8,0.001
, 0.001, 42,0.5,0.001, 18,0.5,0.001, 60,0.9,0.01, 59,0.9,0.01, 2,0.6,0.01, 46,0.5,0.01
, 0.0005, 40,0.8,0.01
, 0.001, 15,0.8,0.01, 17,0.8,0.01, 40,0.5,0.001
, 0.001, 22,0.9,0.01, 36,0.5,0.01, 25,0.5,0.001, 12,0.6,0.01, 18,0.5,0.001, 32,0.3,0.001, 40,0.5,0.01, 42,0.5,0.01, 28,0.3,0.001, 47,0.9,0.01
, 0.01, 46,0.9,0.01, 28,0.3,0.01, 47,0.6,0.01, 39,0.8,0.01, 23,0.6,0.01, 48,0.6,0.01, 16,0.3,0.01, 43,0.2,0.01, 22,0.5,0.01, 50,0.5,0.01, 57,0.5,0.01, 58,0.5,0.01, 15,0.5,0.01, 7,0.5,0.01, 4,0.5,0.01
, 0.01, 47,0.5,0.01, 7,0.5,0.01, 49,0.5,0.01, 50,0.5,0.01, 15,0.5,0.01, 62,0.8,0.01
, 0.01, 18,0.5,0.01, 32,0.9,0.001, 20,0.6,0.01, 36,0,0.2, 38,0.5,0.01, 22,0.5,0.01, 23,0.5,0.01, 41,0.5,0.01, 15,0.9,0.01
, 0.01, 37,0.8,0.37, 18,0.9,0.01, 36,0.9,0.01, 22,0.5,0.01, 27,0.5,0.01, 38,0.5,0.01, 41,0.3,0.01
, 0.0001, 22,1,0.01, 18,0.7,0.01, 21,0.6,0.01, 27,0.5,0.001, 25,0.5,0.001, 26,0.4,0.0001
, 0.001, 28,0.8,0.01, 38,0.7,0.01, 51,0.8,0.001, 58,0.9,0.01, 61,0.9,0.01
, 0.001, 28,0.8,0.01, 38,0.7,0.01, 51,0.8,0.001, 34,1,0.01, 20,0.5,0.01, 58,0.9,0.01, 61,0.9,0.01
, 0.0001, 7,0.5,0.01, 8,0.5,0.01, 12,0.5,0.01, 15,0.5,0.01, 18,0.5,0.01, 5,0.5,0.01, 30,0.5,0.01, 27,0.5,0.001, 22,0.5,0.01, 62,0.0001,0.01, 23,0.5,0.01
, 0.01, 52,0.9,0.001, 49,0.8,0.01, 56,0.9,0.01, 59,0.5,0.01
, 0.001, 49,0.8,0.01, 17,0.5,0.01, 24,0,0.01, 23,0.001,0.01, 39,0.001,0.01, 4,0.5,0.01, 43,0,0.01, 46,0.001,0.01, 48,0.001,0.01, 62,0.9,0.05
, 0.0007, 48,0.5,0.01, 49,0.5,0.01, 42,0.8,0.001, 41,0.3,0.01, 57,0.9,0.01
, 0.001, 43,0.9,0.01, 49,0.9,0.01, 52,0.5,0.001, 42,0.5,0.001, 56,0.9,0.01, 62,0.001,0.01
, 0.0004, 42,0.8,0.001, 43,0.8,0.01, 52,0.6,0.001, 23,0.5,0.01, 41,0.5,0.001, 8,0.5,0.01, 34,0.4,0.01, 56,0.9,0.01
, 0.0005, 38,0.9,0.001, 41,0.8,0.01, 34,0.5,0.01, 20,0.9,0.01
, 0.006, 54,0.9,0.001, 7,0.5,0.01, 38,0.5,0.01, 58,0.9,0.01, 61,0.5,0.01
, 0.000011, 55,0.99, 0.0001, 28,0.9,0.001, 7,0.9,0.01, 41,0.9,0.01, 38,0.9,0.01, 20,0.5,0.01, 34,0.5,0.01
, 0.000011, 7,0.9,0.01, 41,0.9,0.01, 38,0.8,0.01, 50,0.8,0.01,34,0.5,0.01
, 0.000011, 8,0.9,0.01, 7,0.9,0.01, 41,0.9,0.01, 28,0.7,0.01, 54,0.9,0.01, 2,0.9,0.01, 60,0.5,0.01
, 0.000011, 7,0.99,0.01, 54,0.9,0.01, 38,0.7,0.01, 28,0.7,0.01, 41,0.8,0.01, 2,0.8,0.01
, 0.01, 2,0.9,0.01, 7,0.9,0.01, 41,0.7,0.01, 20,0.8,0.01, 34,0.8,0.01, 63,0.8,0.01, 68,0.9,0.01
, 0.001, 7,0.9,0.01, 17,0.7,0.01, 2,0.8,0.01, 63,0.99,0.01
, 0.1, 18,0.7,0.01, 57,0.7,0.01, 42,0.7,0.01, 41,0.7,0.01, 46,0.5,0.01, 20,0.9,0.01
, 0.0003, 22,0.5,0.01, 58,0.8,0.01, 39,0.6,0.01, 18,0.6,0.01
, 0.0004, 22,0.9,0.01, 58,0.9,0.01, 39,0.9,0.01, 36,0.9,0.01, 45,0.5,0.01, 42,0.5,0.01, 50,0.5,0.01, 28,0.4,0.01
, 0.1, 7,1,0.01, 15,0.9,0.01, 41,0.9,0.01, 43,0.5,0.01, 20,0.9,0.01, 34,0.9,0.01, 63,0.99,0.01
, 0.15, 7,0.5,0.01, 39,0.5,0.01, 15,0.5,0.01, 34,0.9,0.01
, , 0.03, 59,0.9,0.01, 60,1,0.01, 46,0.5,0.01
, 0.001, 59,1,0.01, 60,1,0.01
, 0.01, 8,0.5,0.01, 60,0.9,0.01, 54,0.2,0.01, 34,0,0.01, 64,0.5,0.01
, 0.001, 60,1,0.01, 59,1,0.01, 8,0.8,0.01, 7,0.5,0.01, 15,0.5,0.01, 34,0,0.01
, 0.02, 46,0.6,0.01, 3,0.5,0.01, 60,0.99,0.01, 59,0.5,0.01
, 0.01, 60,1,0.01, 59,0.9,0.01, 34,0.5,0.01
, 0.01, 60,0.9,0.01, 2,0.5,0.01, 34,0.8,0.01
, 0.0001, 46,0.9,0.01, 47,0.8,0.01, 48,0.9,0.01, 23,0.9,0.01, 39,0.9,0.01, 22,0.8,0.01, 43,0.8,0.01, 62,0.000011,0.01, 2,0.5,0.01, 24,0.9,0.01, 64,0.3,0.01, 68,0.3,0.01
, 0.01, 62,0.0001,0.01, 61,0.5,0.01, 2,0.5,0.01, 66,0.99,0.01, 68,0.1,0.01
, 0.0003, 41,0.5,0.01, 42,0.7,0.001, 62,0.0001,0.01, 52,0.6,0.001, 56,0.5,0.01
, 0.001, 39,0.8,0.01, 38,0.5,0.01, 42,0.4,0.01, 58,0.5,0.01
, 0.0001, 23,0.5,0.01, 63,0.6,0.01, 54,0.8,0.01, 59,0.7,0.01, 64,0.99,0.01
, 0.001, 8,0.9,0.01, 7,0.9,0.01, 3,0.9,0.01, 15,0.9,0.01, 64,0.8,0.001, 54,0.8,0.01, 45,0.5,0.001, 60,0.5,0.01
, 0.0001, 64,0.9,0.01, 54,0.8,0.01, 15,0.8,0.01, 62,0.001,0.01, 8,0.8,0.01, 23,0.5,0.01, 59,0.8,0.01
, 0.01, 64,0.99,0.01, 8,0.8,0.01, 15,0.9,0.01, 16,0.7,0.01, 54,0.6,0.01, 3,0.8,0.01
, 0.0003, 51,0.9,0.01, 63,0.5,0.01
, 0.001, 48,0.9,0.01, 51,0.8,0.01, 42,0.3,0.01, 50,0.2,0.01, 28,0.1,0.01
, 0.01, 3,0.8,0.01, 15,0.8,0.01, 8,0.8,0.01, 64,0.8,0.01, 60,0.5,0.01, 59,0.001,0.01, 48,0.1,0.01
,0.01, 66,0.9,0.01, 65,0.9,0.01, 67,0.9,0.01, 8,0.5,0.01
, 0.001, 8,0.6,0.01, 62,0.0001,0.01, 41,0.5,0.01, 42,0.5,0.01, 65,0.7,0.01
, 0.0004, 65,0.9,0.01, 42,0.5,0.01, 66,0.5,0.01, 67,0.5,0.01, 8,0.3,0.01
, 0.0005, 2,0.9,0.01, 68,0.9,0.01
, 0.001, 8,0.8,0.01, 15,0.8,0.01, 17,0.5,0.01, 42,0.5,0.01, 45,0.5,0.01, 41,0.5,0.01
2. , . ( . 1 . 2). , .