5.1 ( 4.1).
4.1
, t | , i ( ) | ||||||||||
5.2 1.
( 4.2).
4.2 , . .
I | II | III | IV | |
72 70 62 52 | 100 92.80 60 | 90 80 68 50 |
( 4.1) ( 4) . - , - . , . .
4.1
5.3 . , , . 4.3.
5.4 (. 6 4.3). S ( 4.4). St. , . () 4 ( ).
|
|
4.3
, t | , y, | ||||
2 | |||||
81,5 81,0 79,0 76,5 75,0 73,0 70,0 67,0 64,5 62,0 57,0 52,5 48,0 | 81,25 80,00 77,75 75,75 74,00 71,50 68,50 65,75 63,25 59,50 54,75 50,25 | 1,108 0,800 0,900 1,215 1,081 0,811 0,905 1,217 1,075 0,807 0,950 1,194 |
4.4
, i | |||||
I | II | III | IV | ||
0,900 0,905 0,950 | 1,215 1,217 1,194 | 1,108 1,081 1,075 | 0,800 0,817 0,807 | ||
i - ( ) | 2,755 | 3,626 | 3,264 | 2,424 | |
i - , S i | 0,918 | 1,209 | 1,088 | 0,808 | |
, S | 0,913 | 1,202 | 1,082 | 0,803 |
:
0,918 + 1,209 + 1,088 + 0,808 = 4,023.
: = 4/4,023 = 0,9943.
, .
Si = Si k | (4.2) |
i= 1, 2, 4.
4 :
0,913 + 1,202 + 1,082 + 0,803 = 4.
:
I : S1 = 0,913;
II : S2 = 1,202;
III : S3= 1,082;
IV : S4 = 0,803.
4.5 (. 3).
5.5 . = Y/S (. 4 4.5), .
4.5 (. 3).
5.6 . = Y/S (. 4 4.5), .
4.5
t | yt | Si | ҕ = = yt/si | T | TS | E = = yt/(TS) | E= =yi - (TS) | E2 |
0,913 | 78,86 | 87,80 | 80,16 | 0,898 | -8,16 | 66,66 | ||
1,202 | 83,19 | 85,03 | 102,20 | 0,978 | -2,20 | 4,86 | ||
1,082 | 83,18 | 82,25 | 89,00 | 1,011 | 1,00 | 1,00 | ||
0,803 | 79,70 | 79,48 | 63,82 | 1,003 | 0,18 | 0,03 | ||
0,913 | 76,67 | 76,70 | 70,03 | 1,000 | -0,03 | 0,00 | ||
1,202 | 76,54 | 73,93 | 88,86 | 1,035 | 3,14 | 9,85 | ||
1,082 | 73,94 | 71,15 | 76,99 | 1,039 | 3,01 | 9,08 | ||
0,803 | 72,23 | 68,38 | 54,91 | 1,056 | 3,09 | 9,57 | ||
0,913 | 67,91 | 65,60 | 59,90 | 1,035 | 2,10 | 4,43 | ||
1,202 | 66,56 | 62,83 | 75,52 | 1,059 | 4,48 | 20,08 | ||
1,082 | 62,85 | 60,05 | 64,98 | 1,047 | 3,02 | 9,14 | ||
0,803 | 59,78 | 57,28 | 45,99 | 1,044 | 2,01 | 4,03 | ||
0,913 | 56,96 | 54,50 | 49,76 | 1,045 | 2,24 | 5,02 | ||
1,202 | 49,92 | 51,73 | 62,18 | 0,965 | -2,18 | 4,73 | ||
1,082 | 46,21 | 48,95 | 52,97 | 0,944 | -2,97 | 8,79 | ||
0,803 | 37,36 | 46,18 | 37,08 | 0,809 | -7,08 | 50,12 |
5.7 T . , ( ). :
|
|
90,585150
-2,773250
0,225556
R- 0,915239
16
14
: = 90,59-2,773 t.
t = 1,..., 16, T (. 5 4.5). 4.2.
4.2
5.8 , . ( S) 4.2.
5.9 :
E=Y/(T S). | (4.3) |
. 7 4.5. , . , .
E = yt - (T S). | (4.4) |
207,40. 5023. , : (1 - 207,40/5023) = 0,959, 95,9%.
( ) . -, . , ( ), , , . . -, .
5.10 .
.
Ft (4.1) . = 90,59 -2,773t.
:
T17 = 90,59 -2,773 17 = 43,401;
T18 = 90,59 - 2,773 18 = 40,626.
S1=0,913 (I ); S2=1,202 (II ).
:
F17 = Tl7 S1 = 43,401 0, 913 = 39,626;
F18 = Tl7 S2 =40,626 1, 202 = 48,832.
|
|
:
(39, 626 + 48,832) = 88,458 . . .
:
6.1 .
6.2 .
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