1995 . .
.
ϳ -
, ,
, .
-
,
㳺 , ,
.
,
.
,
- 㳿 ,
.
.
64 2, : .
,
, .
1996
.
:
|1995 . |59 . .. |
|1996 . |254 . . |
|1997 . |392 . . |
|1998 . |499 . . |
|1999 . |515 . . |
, 1999 1998
, 1999
, , ,
. , ,
1999 , 1998.
1 ,
.
1996, .. 1995
.
( ) 1996 .
1.
| |, |. | , % | ,|. |
| |. . |, . | |% | |
| | |. | | |1% |
| | | | | |,|
| | | | | |. .|
|1996 |254,0 |195,0|- |430,5|- |330,5|- |0,6 |
|1997 |392,0 |198,0|198,0 |154,3|154,3 |54,3 |54,3 |2,54 |
|1998 |499,0 |107,0|245,0 |127,3|196,5 |27,3 |96,5 |3,92 |
|1999 |515,0 |16,0 |261,0 |103,2|202,8 |3,2 |102,8 |4,99 |
,
|
|
|
. , ,
.
. 1:
[pic]
. 1.
1:
:
y0
yi
yi-1
yn
:
: = yi-yi-1
: [pic]
: [pic] = 114.0 . .
:
= [pic]
= [pic]
: =[pic] = 171.9 %
:
= - 100
= 100
: = 100 = 71,9 %
1% :
= [pic]
,
:
1. :
= [pic] = 343,8 . .
2. :
= [pic]= 456 . .
, 1995
,
1996 , 261 . .
, 1995
.
3. ( 1995 ) 415 . .
(
) :
[pic]= 5044,29 . .
4. :
[pic]= 71,02 . .
5. :
V = [pic] = 17.11 %
10-25 %,
.
, .
̳ 1996
1999 (. 2.):
2.
( )
|ij |1996 |1999 |
| |, | |, | |
| |. . |, % |. . |, % |
| |146 |57,5 |201 |39,0 |
| |97 |38,2 |266 |51,7 |
| | | | | |
| |11 |4,3 |48 |9,32 |
| |254 |100 |515 |100 |
,
,
, 1996 1999 ,
. ,
.
ֳ
(. 2.)
[pic][pic]
. 2. ̳
2.5.
|
|
|
, -
,
.
:
1995 390,0 . .
1996 457,2 . .
1997 654,6 . .
1998 773,4 . .
1999 791,3 . .
.
3.
|1996 |0,25 |0,46 |209,03 |64,16 |116,13 |0,25 |
|1997 |0,39 |0,66 |428,50 |153,66 |256,60 |0.37 |
|1998 |0,50 |0,77 |598,15 |249,00 |385,93 |0.43 |
|1999 |0,52 |0,79 |625,16 |265,23 |407,52 |0.45 |
| |1,71 |3,07 |2012,94 |735,53 |1189,19 | |
| .|0,34 |0,61 |402,59 |147,11 |237,84 | |
3:
:
[pic]
, :
a0 = - 0.02
a1 = 0.59
:
[pic],
[pic]= 20.06
[pic]=12.12
,
[pic]
, , 97,74 %
.
