%R , "" . , 1/2 . -, - , : -, - . , RSI , . , , , -, - . , ( ) , . , RSI, , , , 1/4 1/2 . 14.
, . , , . ROC, , , , , . , RSI , .
- . , , . , , - . , , . , . -, _6鸸 . " 1-"~,'^ " , , . , , , ( ), - ( ).
|
|
. , , , , . , . - - . , , .
. , " " , . . , "", . , , , . , - . : , ? , ?
. , , , . . , , . ( 13 , .) . , , , , . , , , , .
- (MACDTM)
, - . . " - " (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence Trading Method - MACDTM), . . , , . , - , . , (), (). , , - . (. . 10.19 .)
|
|
, . . , , . .
. 10.19 MACDTM. , , , . - . . . , , MACDTM . , , .
. 10.196 - .
(VA)
(OBV) (VA). , . - - . - " ". VA . . , , . , , . (. . 10.20 .)
. 10.20a .
. 10.206 VA, 7. - VA, . - VA , . , VA .
""
, , ", ." , , . , , "".
" "
. " " (Principle of Contrary Opinion). - . , " ", , , . , , , .
|
|
, , : , , , . " ", .
X. , " ", 1954 " " (The Art of Contrary Thinking, Humphrey B. Neill). , , . . " ", " " (Bullish Consensus numbers), . , , , , . - , , . , , - . , , .
" " " " , . ( ) " " " " (Contrary Opinion, How to Use It for Profit in Trading Commodity Futures, R. Earl Hadady).
" " (Consensus Index of Bullish Market Opinion), " ". , 75% 25%.
, " ", , . , , , , . , " ", , , , 0 100.
" "
|
|
, . 80%, , ( 80% , 20% ). 30% ( 30% 70% - ), , , , .
, "" . " " . " ", .
, , . - - " " . .
" " ' " "
. , , , , , , . , . , "", .
, , 80% 90% , . , ? , , . , " ".