4.1.
() | |||
1. (): 1.1. Qlj0, . . 1.2. l j0, . . | |||
2. j, % , I, II III, IV | 100,2 | 97,4 | |
98,5 | 94,6 | ||
3. : 3.1. . j0, ./.-., I-IV 3.2. . j0, ./.-.-., I,III II,IV 3.3. . j 0, ./-. I-IV | 115,0 | ||
120,0 | |||
157,0 | |||
4. - t2 , % | 1,6 | 1,1 | 2,8 |
5. , .j, , : I II III IV | |||
6. , , : 6.1. Qp, I,III II,IV 6.2. , - I,III II,IV 6.3. Ny, .. I,III II,IV | |||
4.2.
t0 , . .
- , | - - | (-) | ||||||
1. .. | ||||||||
- | ||||||||
2. | ||||||||
3. | ||||||||
4. | ||||||||
5. | ||||||||
6. | ||||||||
7. | ||||||||
8. | - | - | - | |||||
9. | ||||||||
10. | ||||||||
11. , , | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
12. |
, , , , . :
|
|
;
;
;
, .
, , , , .
.
() , t0 t2 . 4.1.
Qlj2 = Qlj0 ∙ (Tj/100)2, (1)
Qlj2 Qlj0 j- t2 t0 , . (. .);
j j- , %.
Ql2 = 17071 ∙ (98,5/100)2 = 16563 . ;
Ql2 = 407 ∙ (100/100)2 = 407 . ;
Ql2 = 317 ∙ (94,6/100)2 = 284 .
( t0 t2 ) 2- :
Qlj0(2)
Nj0(2) = --------------------------, (2)
P.j0(2) ∙ Q.j ∙ T.j
Nj0(2) j- (, , ) , ;
P.j0(2) t0 t2 , ./-., ./--, ./-;
Q.j (, ) , (-, ..);
T.j ( ) , .
N0=--------------------------= 247 ; (2)
121,1 ∙150 ∙90
17071000000
N0= --------------------------= 238 ;
115 ∙2700 ∙230
N0= --------------------------= 31 .
377 ∙450 ∙60
5.1. 5.2. . , .
.
: , , , . 4.2. 4.3. , 0 .
.
4.2. .5. . .8 () .9 .5, 6, 7.
|
|
2 :
= ( ∙ ) / 100, (3)
, . .;
, 35,6%;
Җ .
=(137525 ∙35,6)/100= 48959 .;
=(1076595 ∙35,6)/100=383268 .;
=(85000 ∙35,6)/100 =30260 .
10 .
:
- 5, 10 ;
- 9, 10 .
11 , , , , .
12 , , .
t2 , m .
.5.5. .4.1. 4.2. t0. :
nj.m0 = j.m0 / Qlj0, (4)
t0:
:
n.m0 = 109170/407 = 268,2
n.m0 = 835077/17071 = 48,9
n.m0 = 85000/317 = 268,1
:
n.m0 = 24941/407 = 61,3
n.m0 = 168717/17071 = 9,9
n.m0 = 9800/317 = 30,9
:
n.m0 = 85077/407 = 209
n.m0 = 1267117/17071 = 74,2
n.m0 = 90000/317 = 283,9
:
n.m0 = 3600/407 = 8,8
n.m0 = 144950/17071 = 8,5
n.m0 = 6150/317 = 19,4
:
n.m0 = 1750/407 = 4,3
n.m0 = 10807/17071 = 0,6
n.m0 = 450/317 = 1,4
:
n.m0 = 59811/407 = 146,9
n.m0 = 1515077/17071 = 88,8
n.m0 = 90000/317 = 283,9
:
n.m0 = 65071/407 = 159,9
n.m0 = 1145011/17071 = 67
n.m0 = 48000/317 = 151,4
:
n.m0 = 0
n.m0 = 90070/17071 = 5,3
n.m0 = 12500/317 = 39,4
:
n.m0 = 5070/407 = 12,5
n.m0 = 3200017/17071 = 187
n.m0 = 5000/317 = 15,8
nj.m0 = j. m0 / (Nj0 ∙ Qp.j ∙ .j), ∙ 1000 (5)
:
n.m0 =109170/ (247 ∙ 150 ∙ 90) = 32,7
n.m0 =835077/ (238 ∙ 2700 ∙ 230) = 5,7
n.m0 = 85000/ (31 ∙ 450 ∙ 60) = 101,5
:
n.m0 = 24941/(247 ∙ 150 ∙ 90) = 7,4
n.m0 = 168717/(238 ∙ 2700 ∙ 230) = 1,1
n.m0= 9800/(31 ∙ 450 ∙ 60) = 11,7
:
n.m0 = 85077/(247 ∙ 150 ∙ 90) = 25,5
n.m0 = 1267117/(238 ∙ 2700 ∙ 230) = 8,6
n.m0= 90000/(31 ∙ 450 ∙ 60) = 107,5
:
n.m0 = 3600/(247 ∙ 150 ∙ 90) = 1,1
n.m0 = 144950/(238 ∙ 2700 ∙ 230) = 1
n.m0= 6150/(31 ∙ 450 ∙ 60) = 7,3
:
n.m0 = 1750/(247 ∙ 150 ∙ 90) = 0,5
n.m0 = 10807/(238 ∙ 2700 ∙ 230) = 0,1
n.m0= 450/(31 ∙ 450 ∙ 60) = 0,53
:
n.m0 = 59811/(247 ∙ 150 ∙ 90) = 18
n.m0 = 1515077/(238 ∙ 2700 ∙ 230) = 10,2
n.m0= 90000/(31 ∙ 450 ∙ 60) = 107,5
:
n.m0 = 65071/(247 ∙ 150 ∙ 90) = 19,5
n.m0 = 1145011/(238 ∙ 2700 ∙ 230) = 7,7
n.m0= 48000/(31 ∙ 450 ∙ 60) = 57,3
:
n.m0 = 0
n.m0 = 90070/(238 ∙ 2700 ∙ 230) = 0,6
n.m0= 12500/(31 ∙ 450 ∙ 60) = 14,9
:
|
|
n.m0 = 5070/(247 ∙ 150 ∙ 90) = 1,5
n.m0 = 3200017/(238 ∙ 2700 ∙ 230) = 21,6
n.m0= 5000/(31 ∙ 450 ∙ 60) = 5,9
t2.
nj.m0 m- j- , ./1000 (1000 );
nj.m0 , ./. - (. --; . -).
j. m0 j m- , . .
:
3
n.m0 = .m0 / ∑ j.m0, (6)
j=1
n. 0 = 522109/ 1029247 = 0,5
n. 0 = 11849/203458 = 0,06
n. 0 = 159006/1442194 = 0,11
n.0 = 20096/154700 = 0,13
n.0 = 2106/13007 = 0,16
n.0 = 321045/1664888 = 0,19
n.0 = 162617/1258082 = 0,13
n.0 = 27437/102570 = 0,27
n.0 = 444242/3210087 = 0,14
n.m0 m- , , ./.
t2 , ( ) . , , . ( ):
0 = 0 + 0 + 0, + 0,, (7)
0 = (109170 38865) + 59811 + (3600 + 1750 + 85077) + 65071 + 5070 = 290684
0 = (835077 297287) + 1515077 + 144950 + 10807 + 1267117 + 1145011 + 3200017 = 7820769
0 = (85000 30260) + 9000 + 6150+ 450 + 90000 + 48000 + 5000 = 294340
0 t0 , . .;
0 - ( ), . .;
0, , . .;
0, , , . .;
0, ( ) , . .
, .
0j (; ; ,; ,)
ħj (; ; ,; ,) = ---------------------, (8)
0j.
ħj (; ; ,; ,) . .
∑ħj = 1, (9)
ħ = ( 109170 - 38865)/290684=0,24;
ħ = 59811/290684=0,21;
ħ , = (3600 +85077)/ 290684=0,31;
ħ , = (5070+65071)/ 290684=0,24;
ħ =( 835077 - 297287)/ 7820769=0,07;
ħ = 1515077/ 7820769 =0,19;
ħ , = (144950 + 1267117)/ 7820769=0,19;
ħ , = (3200017 + 1145011)/ 7820769=0,56;
ħ = (85000 - 30260)/294340=0,19;
ħ = 90000/ 294340 =0,31;
ħ , = (6150+90000)/ 294340=0,33;
ħ , = (5000+48000)/ 294340=0,18.
, , , ().
Z.2
Y = -----------, (10)
Z0
Y ;
Z.2 1- , t2 , .;
Z0 .
( Y = 1).
|
|
Y, t0 t2 .
Y, t1 , . , .
.
, ( ):
nm, mj, m, 2 = nm, mj, m, 0 ∙ Y;,; ; , ∙ ;,;;,, (11)
nm, mj, m, 2 t2 , , ;
;,;;, ( ), , , :
, , , ;
1;
( , ..).
. 4.4. ( ) .
t2 :
j.m2 = nmj2 ∙ Qlj2, (12)
j.m2 t2 m- j- , ..;
..2 = 337,9 ∙ 407=137525;
.2 = 77,2 ∙ 407=31420;
.2 = 298,5∙407=121489;
..2 = 13,9 ∙407=5657;
.2 = 6,8 ∙ 407 = 2767;
.2 = 136,6 ∙ 407 = 55596;
.2 = 253,3 ∙ 407 = 103093;
.2 = 16,6 ∙ 407 = 6756;
.
, t0 .
(3).
, ( ).
m .,..2 = m .,..0 ∙ Ym .,.. ∙ m .,.., (13)
(.5.6. ), , :
3
m2 = nm0 ∙ ∑ j.m2, (14)
j
..2 = 0,5 ∙ 1299120=649560;
2 = 0,06 ∙ 259852=15591;
2 = 0,11 ∙2071514=227867;
. 2 = 0,13 ∙247002=32110;
2 = 0,16 ∙ 18124 = 2899;
. 2 = 0,19 ∙ 289694 = 55042;
2 = 0,13 ∙ 1871989 = 243359;
2 = 0,27 ∙ 153286 = 41387;
2 = 0,14 ∙ 4566581 = 639321;
11 , , , , 0.
t2 12 .5, 9.
( ) t0 t2 .
( ) . t0 4.3. ( ) ( = 0).
t2 :
_
j2 = dj0 ∙ Yj ∙ Qlj2, (15)
2 = 1061 ∙1,457 ∙407 = 629172;
2 = 650,6 ∙2,389 ∙16563 = 25743595;
2 = 131,2 ∙1,425 ∙284=53097;
3
.2 = ∑j2, (16)
j
.2 = 629172 + 25743595 + 53097 = 26425864
_
.h2 = .h0 ∙ Y, (17)
.2 t2 , . .;
dj0 t0 , ./;
dj0 = j0 / Qlj0, (18)
d0 = 431877/407 = 1061
d0 =11107207/17071 = 650,6
d0 = 41600/317 = 131,2
.h2 , , . .;
|
|
.h0 h- (, , .) t0 , . .;
Yj, Y , .
, , :
:
_
Yj = Y ∙ ħ + Y ∙ ħ + Y, ∙ ħ, + Y. ∙ ħ,, (19)
: 1,4 ∙0,24 + 1 ∙0,21 + 1,7 ∙0,31 + 1,6 ∙0,24=1,457;
: 1,4 ∙0,07+1 ∙0,19+1,7 ∙0,19+1,6 ∙0,56=2,3;
: 1,4 ∙0,314+1 ∙0,3+1,7 ∙0,26+1,6 ∙0,144=1,412.
:
_ _
Y = Yj ∙ qj, (20)
: 1,457 ∙ 0,044= 0,064
: 2,3 ∙ 0,923=2,205;
: 1,425 ∙ 0,033=0,047.
3
∑ qj = 1, (21)
j
qj j t2 .
t0 t2 - , . (. . 5.4. ).
( 3 5 . 4.3.) ( 3 4 . 5.4.).
, ( 2 .5 . 4.3. 3 .4 5 . 5.4.).
( 4 .5 . 4.3.) ( ) 6 .3, 4, 5 . 5.4.
( ) ( 18), , ./. :
_ ∑j j0(2)
d0(2) = ------------------. (22)
∑j Qlj0(2)
d0 = (431877+11107207+41600)/407+317+17071=651;
_
d2 =26425864/17254=1532.
dj.0(2) d0(2), ./. :
∑ j..0(2)
dj. = ----------------, (23)
Qlj0(2)
d 0= 686746/407=1687;
d 0= 11561713/17071=677;
d 0= 44524/317=140;
d 2= 995176/407=22445;
d 2= 26300131/16563=1587,8;
d 2 =57312/284=201,8.
∑j ∑ j.0(2)
d0(2) = -----------------, (24)
∑j Qlj0(2)
∑ j.0(2) j- , . .
( ), ./. -, :
∑ j.0(2)
dj.y0(2) = -----------------. (25)
Nj0(2) ∙ T j
d.y0 =686746/(247 ∙90)=30,8;
d.y0= 11561713/(238 ∙230)=211,2;
d.y0= 44524/(31 ∙60)=23,9;
d.y2 = 995176/(247 ∙90)=44,7;
d.y2 = 26300131/(229 ∙230)=499,3;
d.y2 = 57312/(60 ∙26)=36,7.
.
() .
(. 2-5 ), , , .6. , , . 8. () , , (. . 5.7. ).
, 3%. .
( ) () :
∑ .
.j = ------------ ∙ j, (26)
∑j j
.j , j- (), .. , ;
j j- (. 12 . 5.6. .1 . 5.7.), . .;
. ( 3 . 5.7.), . .;
∑j j j- , . . (. 12 . 5.6.).
() - Cj.t :
∑f Pj.f0(2)
Cj0(2) = -----------------. (27)
Nj0(2) ∙ T.j
0 = 368414/(247 ∙90)=16,57;
.0 =8505413/(238 ∙ 230)=155,38;
.0 =367360/(31 ∙ 60)=197,505;
.2 =481842/(247 ∙ 90)=21,675;
.2 =10130595/(229 ∙ 230)=192,34;
.2 =367360/(26 ∙ 60)=235,49.
, .4.3. ( ), , . , : (. 5.4.) .. 2 3 . 7 τj.
j..0(2) + j...0(2)
τj = -----------------------------, (28)
Σ j.0(2)
τ0 = 0;
τ0 =(239211 + 2584)/11561713,7=0,0209;
τ0 =(2080+23)/44524,88=0,0472;
τ2 = 0;
τ2 =(360491+3555)/26300131=0,0138;
τ2 =(2964+94)/57312= 0,05335
j..0(2) t0 t2 , . .;
j...0(2) , , . .
j.. , . .:
j..0(2) = τj0(2) ∙ Σf j.f0(2). (29)
..0 =0 ∙368414=0;
..0 =0,0209 ∙8505413 = 177763;
..0 =0,0472 ∙367360 = 17339,392;
..2 =0 ∙481842 = 0;
..2 =0,0138 ∙10130595=139802,211;
..2 =0,05335 ∙367360=19598,656.
, , . :
- :
j..0(2) = ∑f Pj.f0(2) j..0(2), (30)
..0 =368414 - 0=368414;
..0 =8505413 - 177763=8327650;
..0 =367760 17339,392=350420,608;
..2 =481842 - 0=481842;
..2 =10130595 139802,211=9990792,789;
..2 =367360 19598,656= 347761,344.
- :
.0(2) = ∑j. j..0(2). (31)
.0= 9046484,608;
.2 = 10820396,133.
. :
- Sj.t, ./. :
Pj..0(2)
Sj0(2) = -------------, (32)
Qlj0(2)
S0 =368414/407=905,194;
S0 =8327650/17071=487,824;
S0 =350420/317=1105,428;
S2 =481842/407=102,806;
S2 =9990792,789/16563=603,199;
S2 =347761,344/284=1224,512
- St, ./. :
P.0(2)
S0(2) = ------------. (33)
∑j Qlj0(2)
S0 =9046484,608/17795=508,372;
S2= 10820396,133/17254=627,124.
t0 t2 .
, . 5.8. , :
- , , ;
- ;
- , ( , ).
t0 t2 . ( 12, 9).
( . 5.10.).
3 _
.0(2) = 1,2 ∙ ∑ Nj0(2) ∙ Cj.., (34)
j=1
.0 = 1,2 ∙ (247 ∙ 437 + 238 ∙ 90 + 31 ∙ 21) = 156012 . .
. 2 = 1,2 ∙ (247 ∙ 437 + 229 ∙ 90 + 26 ∙ 21) = 154914 . .
.0(2) , t0 t2 , ..;
Cj.. j- , ..;
Nj0(2) - .
3 _ 3
0= ∑ Nj0 ∙ Cj. ∙ (1 j0/100) + (0,2 ∙ ∑Nj0 ∙ Cj..) ∙ (1 .0/100), (35)
j=1 j=1
: 0 t0 , ..;
j0 , j- t0 , %;
.0 t0 , %.
t2 2 ∙ nu:
j2=jo+2 ∙ nu. (36)
2 = 1457176,5+2 ∙ 4,6% = 1591236,738
2 = 224910+2 ∙ 4,2% = 243802,44
2 = 11718+2 ∙ 4,5% = 12772,62
t2 (35) ( 36).
, , t2 , to .
( . 5.10.).
. to :
nj 0 = j 0 /Nj0, (37)
n 0 =2570/247=10,4;
n 0 =3870/238=16,26;
n. 0 =577/31=18,61.
nj 0 j- , ./;
j 0 () ( ), .
t2 to t2 :
j 2 = nj 0 ∙ Nj2, (38)
2 =10,4 ∙247=2570;
2 =16,26 ∙229=3724;
2 =18,61 ∙26=484.
:
3 3
2 = (∑ j 2 / ∑ j 0) ∙ 0, (39)
j=1 j=1
2 = 6778/7017 ∙271=262.
0 to , .;
2 t2 , .
:
3
∑0(2) = ∑ 0(2) + 0(2) . (40)
j=1
t2 , , ( ), .
, , to t2 .
. 5.9. .
:
1) , ;
2) , , , ;
3) .
(. 5.9.) :
= ∑j j + ∑ - ∑j Pj - ∑ , (41)
, ..;
∑j j, ∑ , ..;
∑j Pj, ∑ , ..
( ) , ./.:
j,
j, = ------. (42)
j,
,0 =368414/431877=0,85*100=85;
.0 =8505413/11107207=0,765*100=77;
.0 =367360/41600=8,83*100=883;
.2 =481842/629172=0,765*100=77;
.2 =10130595/25743595=0,3935*100=39
.2 =367360/53097=6,9*100=692
:
j, j,
rj, = ------------- ∙ 100. (43)
j,
r,0 =(431877-368414)/368414 ∙100=17;
r,0 =(11107207-8505413)/8505413 ∙100=31
r,0 =(41600-367360)/367360=-0,89 ∙100= -89;
r,2 =(629172-481842)/481842=0,305 ∙100=31;
r,2 =(25743595-10130595)/10130595=1,54 ∙100=154;
r,2 =(53097-367360)/367360=-0,85 ∙100= -85.
t0 t2 :
- - , ../.; ../.
= ∑Ql / ∑, (44)
. 0 = 407/2570 ∙1000=158;
. 0 = 17071/3870 ∙1000=4411;
. 0 = 317/577 ∙1000=612;
. 2 = 407/2570 ∙1000=158;
. 2 =16563/3724 ∙1000=4448;
. 2 = 284/484 ∙1000=587.
= ∑ / ∑, (45)
. 0 = 702716,037/2570=273;
. 0 = 11975628,65/3870=3094;
. 0 = 46251,324/577=80;
. 2 = 1005536,12/2570=391;
. 2 =26720562,97/3724=7175;
. 2 = 58175/484=120.
∑ , .;
- , ./.:
= / ∑,(46)
. .0 =109170/2570=42;
. .0 =835077/3870=216;
. .0 =85000/577=147;
. .2 =137525/2570=54;
. .2 =1076595/3724=289;
. .2 =85000/484=176.
- (), ./. (/.):
= / , (47)
. 0= 158/42=3,76;
. 0= 4411/216=20,42;
. 0= 549/147=3,73;
. 2= 158/54=2,93;
. 2= 4448/289=15,39;
. 2= 587/176=3,33.
- , ./.(./):
= / . (48)
. 0 = 42/158=0,27;
. 0 = 216/4411=0,05;
. 0 = 147/549=0,27;
. 2 = 54/158=0,34;
. 2 = 289/4448=0,06;
. 2 = 176/587=0,29.
. 5.10. .
.
= , (49)
= -
, . .;
( ), . .;
, ( ), . .;
- , . .
= - , (50)
= + , (51)
, . .;
, . .;
, , . .;
, . .
, .
2% .
.
, , ( ):
= - , (52)
= ( ) ∙ m / 100, (53)
, , . .;
, . .;
, , = 0;
m , 2- : 11 % 13 %.
. 5.10. .
4.3.
( ) t0 (. .)
- | - | ||||
1. | - | ||||
2. | - | ||||
3. , | - | - | - | ||
4. , | |||||
5. , | |||||
6. | - | - | - | - | |
7. |
4.4.
( )
III | ||
- | ... | 0,95 |
... | 0,9 | |
... | 0,99 | |
..... | 0,96 | |
- | ... | 0,98 |
... | 0,93 | |
... | 0,98 | |
..... | 0,96 | |
... | 0,89 | |
... | 0,84 | |
... | 0,93 | |
..... | 0,92 | |
... | 0,97 | |
... | 0,99 | |
... | 0,95 | |
..... | 0,96 | |
... | 0,92 | |
... | 0,83 | |
... | 0,75 | |
..... | 0,91 |
. | ||||||
I " " | ||||||
1. , Q | ||||||
2. 1 , ε | / | |||||
3. , | ||||||
4. . , k.. | 0,97 | |||||
5. , .. | ||||||
6. , υ | / | 20,8 | ||||
7. : | ||||||
, t.. | t.. = 0,3 ∙ t | |||||
, t.. | t.. = 0,5 ∙ t | |||||
8. , M | / | |||||
9. , | / | |||||
10. , Ny | ||||||
11. , | . | 1,55 | ||||
II " " | ||||||
12. - , n | ||||||
13. , n. | / | |||||
14. , .. | . | 71,3 | ||||
15. . , k | 1,2 | |||||
16. . , k.. | 1,2 | |||||
17. . ./, k | < |
|
|
|
|
: 2016-10-22; !; : 325 |
:
- , - .
==> ...
: 0.457 .