. . | |
:
) 1,
) 2,
) 3.
1= + , , =170+448=618
2=1+ , =618+1630+300=2548
3=2+. . ,- , . .,, . =2548+645=3193
22
100 . + 1/2 (=100 . + 1/2 Yd).
) ( .)
(Yd) | () | (S) |
-100 | ||
-50 | ||
) , . , 45.
) , , . .
) =0,5.
=+*Yd=100+0,5* Yd. S=Yd-C.( , Yd , , S=Y-C/)
) , , . 45, . - , .
) 200, 0 100, .
23
20% . , 1 1 . .
:
) ?
) 1 , , ? , .
mb=1/0,2=5.
) DMS=1000000-1000000*0,2=800000.
) 1000000*0,2=200000.
) 1000000*5=5000000
24
80%. 5.
, . ( . , ).
G=S/C. G , - , S- . G=0,2/5*100%=4%.
25
= 5000 . = 3200 ., 150 ., = 900 ., = 80 .
|
|
:
) .
) .
) , 350 .
) . ? ?
) , , , ( ) ?
) () = . . =5000-3200-900-80= 820 . = = 820 150 = 670
) = = 5000 150 = 4850;
) = = 350 80 = 270 .
) , .
) , , , . , , . , , . , .
26
(. . ). , 2000 6%.
3712,5 |
, 2002 :
) , , .
.-.=3712,54125= 412,5, .. 412,5 . . . .
./.=0,9=90%, .. 90% .
) , 2000 ( 2,5).
(Y-Y*) / Y*= λ(U-U*)
(3712,5 4125)/4125100%= 2,5(U 6), , 2000 U=10%
27
(r): S=100+400r. , , (i) 40%, 30%.
S=Yd-C, r- , - , S=100+0,4 400=260 => 0,3S=0,3260=78
28
:
- 1000
- 500
- 200
- 150
- 70
- 30
- 50
- 300
- 250
:
) ;
) .
)________ y==500+200+150+300-250=900
(D) (ϗ ). = 900 + 70 50= =920.
,D=1000920=80.
) __δ= (150 + 50) (70 + 30) = 100
29
=1000.
: ) 20 25 % 150 200 .; ) 15 . 15 . .
) , . (Δy(ΔG)) , - (Δ(Δ)).
Δy(ΔG) = 50 / (1- Cy+0,25Cy)= 50 / (1-0,75Cy) (1)
|
|
Δ(Δ)= (0,05(1000+ Δ)Cy) / (1-Cy+0,25Cy)
.. y=Cy(1-Ty), Δ(Δ)= (0,05(1000+ Δ)Cy) / (1-0,75Cy) (2)
30
: = 20 + 0,6, 30 . , 5 .? ?
.:_S=20-0,6=-20+0,4.
________:_=20+0,6+30=>*=125.
5 .
(1) > (2).
) ,
15 y 15 . S=-15+0,4.
_=15+0,6+30=>*=112,5.
_,___12,5.
. , 5 . .
1/(1 - 0,6) = 2,5, 5 . 5*2,5 = 12,5 .
31
:S=0,25y-10;I=30.
: ) ; ) , , , 10 .; ) , , , , 20 .
) ______(I=S)_,_0,25-10=30 =>=160.
) ___S=0,25,_0,25=30=>*=120;S*=0,25*120=30.
) 0,25 = 20 => * = 80; S * = 0,25*80 = 20.
32
:
- 1000
- 600
- 100
- 250
- 100
- 10
:
) ;
) ;
) ;
) . ( ). , , , , .)
) . .
,
D=IbrIn=250100=150,=1000150=850.
,
==850.
)
NE=yCInG=850600100100=50.
) . :δ=GT,(10)=100T
T=110.,yv=850110=740.__yv=C+S, S = 740 600 = 140.
33
C = 40 + 0,75Yd (Yd ). , 20 % 300 .
_S=yvC,_yv=yTyy=3000,2300=240, S = 240 40 0,75 240 = 20.
|
|
34
C = 0,7Yd + 50 (Yd ). , 13 %.
=Cyv(1-Ty), y=0,70,87=0,609
S = y C = y 50 0,609y = 50 + 0,261y.
35
550 . ., 600 . . , 580 . . ?
ex-post In = S. , 580. - . 600, 20 . . 20 . , .
In = S = 600.
36
10 ( ). 8 1 ./, 2 , . 8 , 7 2 ./, 1 . 7 3 ./. .
, .
: , , . , , , .
, , 10 , , () . , , , 8*2-8*1=8 ., , , 7*3-7*2=7 . , 25 .
37
, . .: 480; 80; 30; 300; 96; 3.
:
) ;
) (NE);
) , .
) . .
,
D=IbrIn=8030=50,=48050=430.
,
==430.
)
NE=yCInG=4303003096=4.
) . :δ=GT,(3)=96T
T=99.,yv=43099=331.__yv=C+S, S = 331 300 = 31.
38
2000 . | 2001 . | |||
() - , .
:
=(1200+4100+860) / (1200+3100+660)=1,26
:
(1300+4150+850) / (1300+3150+650)=1,24
39
, . .: 500; 75; 80; 250; 30; 20; 25; 150; 110.
:
) ;
) (D);
) .
)
= 250 + 75 + 80 + 150 110 = 445.
30 . ., :
yv = 445 30 = 415.
) (D) (ϗ ). = 445 + 20 25 = 440.
, D = 500 440 = 60.
)
δ= (80 + 25) (30 + 20) = 55.
|
|
41
900 . ., 150 . ., 5000 . . 100 . . .
I=900
Xn= 150
C=5000
G=-100
Y=I+Xn+C+G
Y=900+150+5000-100=5950
42
3000 . ., 700 . ., 500 . ., 300 . ., 50 . ., 600 . . , , , .
I=700
Tr= 300
C=3000
G=500
N=50
T=600
:
Sp = (Y + TR + N - T) C
Sp =(I+C+G+TR+N-T)-C
Sp = (700+3000+500+300+50-600)-3000=950
.:
Sg = (T TR N) G
Sg = (600-300-50)-500=-250 ( )
43
180 .., 85 . ., 55 . ., 2 .., 40 .. .
=180+40=220
. , ,
44
, 3 : , . :
P | Q | P | Q | |
2010 2011 , , 2010 , 2011 . , ?
- , .. - -- , 2010 .
Ip=∑p1q0 / ∑p0q0, : ∑p1q0- () , ∑p0q0- . p=(715+625+158)/(515+425+208)=1,12 , , . - .
- ( ) . Ip=∑p1q1 / ∑p0q1, : ∑p1q1 ,∑p0q1
Ip=(712+620+1514)/(1215+2025+148)=0,523 , . .
: If=√IpIp= √ (0,5231,12) =0,765. , , ( ).
45
: .
P | Q | P | Q | |
, |
2011 , 2010 . 2010 , , 2011 25% ( 2011 ).
|
|
1) () - , .
Pp=(100060+150010) /(901000+41500)=0,78
2)1000=125%, .. 25% => =1000/125100=800
46
1 . . .; 500 . . ; 200 . . ; 250 . . ; 50 . . ; 50 . . . .
, 0,6. ? , ? 2 :
) ;