1. Y, , X (. .):
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Y | 2997 | 3060 | 3331 | 4103 | 4126 | 4487 | 5095 | 5196 |
X | 2762 | 2753 | 2891 | 3265 | 3734 | 4177 | 4433 | 4643 |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
Y | 2997 | 3060 | 3331 | 4103 | 4126 | 4487 | 5095 | 5196 |
X | 4608 | 4879 | 4563 | 5017 | 5260 | 6327 | 6352 | 6784 |
17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | |
Y | 7245 | 8332 | 9392 | 10222 | 11976 | 13694 | 14538 | 15436 |
X | 7865 | 9172 | 9597 | 11380 | 12339 | 14004 | 15010 | 17202 |
-.
1) . ( ):
, σ: (190,172) (0,023)
R 2 = 0,9848, Du = 4792230,74.
2) - i:
i | i | Yi | ui | ||||
1 | 2762 | 2997 | 3126,647 | -129,647 | 16808,294 | ||
2 | 2753 | 3060 | 3118,717 | -58,717 | 3447,665 | 5031,06 | 7612,45 |
3 | 2891 | 3331 | 3240,310 | 90,690 | 8224,694 | 22322,43 | -5325,03 |
4 | 3265 | 4103 | 3569,845 | 533,155 | 284254,490 | 195775,39 | 48351,90 |
5 | 3734 | 4126 | 3983,085 | 142,915 | 20424,686 | 152287,46 | 76195,86 |
6 | 4177 | 4487 | 4373,416 | 113,584 | 12901,222 | 860,33 | 16232,79 |
7 | 4433 | 5095 | 4598,980 | 496,020 | 246035,409 | 146257,31 | 56339,66 |
8 | 4643 | 5196 | 4784,013 | 411,987 | 169732,970 | 7061,54 | 204353,42 |
9 | 4608 | 5001 | 4753,175 | 247,825 | 61417,448 | 26948,89 | 102100,76 |
10 | 4879 | 5104 | 4991,955 | 112,045 | 12554,042 | 18436,38 | 27767,56 |
11 | 4563 | 4985 | 4713,525 | 271,475 | 73698,869 | 25418,10 | 30417,41 |
12 | 5017 | 5102 | 5113,548 | -11,548 | 133,362 | 80102,37 | -3135,07 |
13 | 5260 | 5189 | 5327,658 | -138,658 | 19225,991 | 16156,84 | 1601,26 |
14 | 6327 | 5243 | 6267,801 | -1024,801 | 1050217,988 | 785250,51 | 142096,73 |
15 | 6352 | 5986 | 6289,829 | -303,829 | 92312,165 | 519801,01 | 311364,57 |
16 | 6784 | 5715 | 6670,468 | -955,468 | 912919,837 | 424633,67 | 290299,17 |
17 | 7865 | 7245 | 7622,948 | -377,948 | 142844,338 | 333530,34 | 361116,92 |
18 | 9172 | 8332 | 8774,557 | -442,557 | 195857,036 | 4174,43 | 167263,47 |
19 | 9597 | 9392 | 9149,029 | 242,971 | 59034,989 | 469949,39 | -107528,68 |
20 | 11380 | 10222 | 10720,047 | -498,047 | 248050,519 | 549107,49 | -121010,99 |
21 | 12339 | 11976 | 11565,031 | 410,969 | 168895,916 | 826310,43 | -204682,00 |
22 | 14004 | 13694 | 13032,077 | 661,923 | 438141,406 | 62977,42 | 272029,95 |
23 | 15010 | 14538 | 13918,473 | 619,527 | 383813,155 | 1797,42 | 410078,57 |
24 | 17202 | 15436 | 15849,865 | -413,865 | 171284,252 | 1067898,14 | -256400,37 |
Σ | 0,000 | 4792230,74 | 5742088,33 | 1827140,30 |
|
|
3) -:
: .
DW >0 n = 24, m =1 α = 0,05 :
DW1 =1,273; DW 2 = 1,446; 0 < DW < 1,273, .
2. .
Y, , X1 X2 (. .):
Y | 2997 | 3060 | 3331 | 4103 | 4126 | 4487 | 5095 | 5196 |
X1 | 2762 | 2753 | 2891 | 3265 | 3734 | 4177 | 4433 | 4643 |
X2 | 964 | 727 | 962 | 849 | 882 | 1000 | 805 | 926 |
Y | 2997 | 3060 | 3331 | 4103 | 4126 | 4487 | 5095 | 5196 |
X1 | 4608 | 4879 | 4563 | 5017 | 5260 | 6327 | 6352 | 6784 |
X2 | 806 | 858 | 1169 | 1454 | 1942 | 2623 | 2415 | 2613 |
Y | 7245 | 8332 | 9392 | 10222 | 11976 | 13694 | 14538 | 15436 |
X1 | 7865 | 9172 | 9597 | 11380 | 12339 | 14004 | 15010 | 17202 |
X2 | 3508 | 3436 | 3520 | 4750 | 4696 | 4903 | 4482 | 5479 |
-.
1) . ( ):
.
σ: (166,404) (0,067) (0,172)
R 2 = 0,9899, D u = 3176380,81.
2). - i:
i | 1 | 2 | Yi | ui | ||||
2762 | 964 | 2997 | 2996,15 | 0,85 | 0,72 | |||
2753 | 727 | 3060 | 3119,72 | -59,72 | 3566,92 | 3668,85 | -50,61 | |
2891 | 962 | 3331 | 3137,94 | 193,06 | 37273,38 | 63901,19 | -11530,45 | |
3265 | 849 | 4103 | 3609,33 | 493,67 | 243705,61 | 90361,76 | 95308,61 | |
3734 | 882 | 4126 | 4102,15 | 23,85 | 568,89 | 220725,32 | 11774,59 | |
4177 | 1000 | 4487 | 4518,77 | -31,77 | 1009,63 | 3094,26 | -757,87 | |
4433 | 805 | 5095 | 4907,66 | 187,34 | 35097,10 | 48012,21 | -5952,74 | |
4643 | 926 | 5196 | 5068,54 | 127,46 | 16246,64 | 3585,60 | 23879,07 | |
4608 | 806 | 5001 | 5097,91 | -96,91 | 9391,73 | 50343,35 | -12352,49 | |
4879 | 858 | 5104 | 5364,14 | -260,14 | 67671,37 | 26642,82 | 25210,14 | |
4563 | 1169 | 4985 | 4844,55 | 140,45 | 19727,24 | 160473,08 | -36537,24 | |
5017 | 1454 | 5102 | 5179,18 | -77,18 | 5956,49 | 47363,69 | -10839,98 | |
5260 | 1942 | 5189 | 5169,49 | 19,51 | 380,57 | 9348,30 | -1505,62 | |
6327 | 2623 | 5243 | 5949,65 | -706,65 | 499360,43 | 527312,26 | -13785,63 | |
6352 | 2415 | 5986 | 6093,98 | -107,98 | 11659,02 | 358414,69 | 76302,38 | |
6784 | 2613 | 5715 | 6453,58 | -738,58 | 545507,16 | 397665,97 | 79750,10 | |
7865 | 3508 | 7245 | 7128,57 | 116,43 | 13555,34 | 731045,49 | -85991,50 | |
9172 | 3436 | 8332 | 8594,22 | -262,22 | 68757,61 | 143371,39 | -30529,22 | |
9597 | 3520 | 9392 | 9010,35 | 381,65 | 145655,73 | 414562,67 | -100074,67 | |
11380 | 4750 | 10222 | 10262,24 | -40,24 | 1619,62 | 177993,91 | -15359,28 | |
12339 | 4696 | 11976 | 11338,31 | 637,69 | 406652,16 | 459599,11 | -25663,66 | |
14004 | 4903 | 13694 | 13037,28 | 656,72 | 431275,95 | 361,88 | 418783,11 | |
15010 | 4482 | 14538 | 14371,14 | 166,86 | 27841,20 | 239962,04 | 109577,56 | |
17202 | 5479 | 15436 | 16200,13 | -764,13 | 583900,29 | 866743,35 | -127500,93 | |
Σ | 0,000 | 3176380,81 | 5044553,21 | 362153,70 |
|
|
3). -:
: .
DW >0 n = 24, m =2 α = 0,05 :
DW 1 =1,188; DW 2 = 1,546, 1,546 < DW < 2, .
4). , .
3. : , , .
(.1), Y, , X, .
1) ˳ : .
: a .
(914,15) (4363389,27)
R2 =0.733, Du = 83950697,22.
2). - i:
3). -:
: .
DW >0 n = 24, m =1 α = 0,05 : DW 1 =1,273; DW 2 =1.446, 0 < DW < 1,273, .
4). , 1, , , , , DW .