)
, . m
M = /
, . , . , (m+1) , :
m+1 Qm+1 = qj j=1 | (5.1) |
qj j
m+1 Pm+1 = 1-Qm+1= 1- qj J=1 | (5.2) |
:
q1 q2. =1-q1,q2
Q1 = 1-P1 Q2 = 1-P2
P= P1 +P2 P1P2 | (5.3) |
, , 5.1 5.2
Qm+1 = q m+1 | (5.4) |
Pm+1 = 1-qm+1 | (5.5) |
n P = Pi i=1 | (5.6) |
n Q= 1-P = 1 - Pi i=1 | (5.7) |
, .
m+1 n Q n,m+1 = [1 - Pij] i=1 j=1 | (5.8) |
m+1 n = n,m+1 = Qn,m+1 = (1 - Pij) i=1 j=1 | (5.9) |
, ,
Q = Q n,m+1 = (1- n)m+1=[ 1-(1-q)n]m+1 | (5.10) |
= 1-Q =1-(1- )n,m+1 | (5.11) |
5.10 m+1 = K
Q = [ 1-(1-q)n]r≈ nq | (5.12) |
(1-q)n = 1 nq + (n(n-1) / 2!)q² - (n(n-1)(n-2) / 3!)q3
)
.
qi , :
n
Q = 1 Pi Pi = 1-qi
i=1
m , m+1 = Ki
K qi = qj j=1 | (5.13) |
n n Q = 1 (1-q1) = 1- (1-qj) i=1 i=1 j=1 | (5.14) |
,
Q = 1-(1-q)n | (5.15) |
5.15 ,
Q ≈ n qk | (5.16) |
P = (1- Qk)n= [1-(1-p)k]n | (5.17) |
n m
|
|
K = Q / Q = nm+1qm+1/nqm+1=nm
n=50, P=0,9
= 0,005, m = 0
= 0,01, m =1
= 0,5, m = 1
= 1-(1-e-λtn)m+1 | (5.18) |
= [ 1-(1-e-λt)]n | (5.19) |
fp(t) = d[1-p(t)]/dt = n(m+1)λoe-λot(1-e-λt)m [1-(1-e-λot)]n-1 | (5.20) |
Λ(t) = fp(t) / Pp(t) = n (m+1) λo e-λot(1-eλt)m / [ 1-(1-e-λt)k]n | (5.21) |
.
= ∫ (t) dt = 1 / λo + 1 / 2λo + .. + 1/ kλo = To (1 + ½ +1/k) | (5.22) |